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Stadium Background

Fernwald vs FCA Darmstadt

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hessen 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Hessen 2012/2013 game between Fernwald and FCA Darmstadt finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fernwald.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Fernwald
30%
Draws
0%
FCA Darmstadt
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fernwald

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fernwald come out ahead of FCA Darmstadt on wins alone.
  • Model gives Fernwald a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Fernwald Clean Sheet 17%
FCA Darmstadt Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fernwald FCA Darmstadt
Matches Played 40 34
Wins 13 6
Draws 15 5
Losses 12 23
Goals Scored 1.65 0.91
Goals Conceded 1.52 2.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2013 Oberliga Hessen
Fernwald vs FCA Darmstadt
5:0
Oct 13, 2012 Oberliga Hessen
FCA Darmstadt vs Fernwald
0:0
Sep 10, 2011 Oberliga Hessen
Fernwald vs FCA Darmstadt
3:2
Nov 27, 2010 Oberliga Hessen
FCA Darmstadt vs Fernwald
1:1
Aug 17, 2010 Oberliga Hessen
Fernwald vs FCA Darmstadt
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fernwald 84 / 100
FCA Darmstadt 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fernwald FCA Darmstadt

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fernwald Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fernwald's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 40 recent games.

FCA Darmstadt's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 34 matches.

Difficult form: FCA Darmstadt registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Fernwald VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fernwald

(Home)
19 Sept
Fernwald
0 : 0
Eddersheim
12 Sept
Giessen
4 : 3
Fernwald
09 Sept
Pohlheim
1 : 1
Fernwald
05 Sept
VfB Marburg
0 : 2
Fernwald
28 Aug
Fernwald
3 : 3
Hanauer SC
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FCA Darmstadt

(Away)
25 May
FCA Darmstadt
2 : 10
Wehen II
18 May
Eddersheim
8 : 1
FCA Darmstadt
11 May
FCA Darmstadt
0 : 5
Flieden
09 May
FCA Darmstadt
0 : 7
Hunfelder
04 May
FCA Darmstadt
1 : 2
Viktoria Griesheim
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Baunatal 34 20 5 9 69:43 65
2 Jugesheim 34 18 10 6 49:22 64
3 Flieden 34 19 3 12 69:54 60
4 Hadamar 34 16 10 8 69:45 58
5 Wehen II 34 17 7 10 64:51 58
6 Lohfelden 34 17 5 12 58:47 56
7 Fernwald 34 15 8 11 79:42 53
8 Hunfelder 34 14 9 11 63:51 51
9 Stadtallendorf 34 15 5 14 53:50 50
10 Viktoria Griesheim 34 15 5 14 58:57 50
11 Vellmar 34 15 4 15 70:60 49
12 SKV Darmstadt 34 15 4 15 63:63 49
13 Kickers Offenbach II 34 13 6 15 51:49 45
14 Waldgirmes 34 10 7 17 56:64 37
15 Urberach 34 12 3 19 55:73 33
16 Braunfels 34 9 6 19 32:71 33
17 Eddersheim 34 7 4 23 47:91 25
18 FCA Darmstadt 34 6 5 23 26:98 23
Relegation - Oberliga Hessen 2012/2013 (Relegation)
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest 2013/2014 (Main)