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Ferreira de Aves vs Castro Daire

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 game between Ferreira de Aves and Castro Daire finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ferreira de Aves.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ferreira de Aves
6%
Draws
4%
Castro Daire
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ferreira de Aves

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Castro Daire carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Ferreira de Aves are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Castro Daire have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
Ferreira de Aves Clean Sheet 68%
Castro Daire Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferreira de Aves Castro Daire
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 7 8
Draws 5 12
Losses 18 17
Goals Scored 0 0.63
Goals Conceded 0 1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Ferreira de Aves vs Castro Daire
1:0
Apr 3, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Castro Daire vs Ferreira de Aves
3:0
Feb 20, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Castro Daire vs Ferreira de Aves
2:0
Dec 5, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Ferreira de Aves vs Castro Daire
0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferreira de Aves 95 / 100
Castro Daire 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferreira de Aves Castro Daire

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Castro Daire let in goals in 68% of their last 37 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Ferreira de Aves went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Castro Daire registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Castro Daire
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%