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Ferriolense vs Alcudia

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Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 game between Ferriolense and Alcudia finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Ferriolense
20%
Draws
58%
Alcudia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alcudia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Alcudia come out ahead of Ferriolense on wins alone.
  • Model gives Alcudia a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Ferriolense Clean Sheet 24%
Alcudia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferriolense Alcudia
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 13
Draws 5 6
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 0.97 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alcudia vs Ferriolense
2:1
Apr 18, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Ferriolense vs Alcudia
0:0
Feb 22, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Ferriolense vs Alcudia
1:1
Sep 29, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alcudia vs Ferriolense
1:3
Mar 17, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alcudia vs Ferriolense
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferriolense 17 / 100
Alcudia 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferriolense Alcudia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alcudia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alcudia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Attacking prowess: Ferriolense scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Ferriolense stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Alcudia
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferriolense

(Home)
19 Jun
Santa Catalina Atletico
4 : 1
Ferriolense
12 Jun
Ferriolense
0 : 1
Binissalem
05 Jun
Esporles
0 : 4
Ferriolense
29 May
Ferriolense
0 : 4
Llosetense
22 May
Alcudia
2 : 1
Ferriolense
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Alcudia

(Away)
06 Sept
Alcudia
5 : 0
Inter Ibiza
10 May
Mercadal
3 : 2
Alcudia
03 May
Alcudia
1 : 1
Binissalem
26 Apr
Felanitx
0 : 2
Alcudia
18 Apr
Alcudia
2 : 2
Pena Deportiva
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