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Ferriolense vs Binissalem

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Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 game between Ferriolense and Binissalem finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Binissalem.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Ferriolense
15%
Draws
49%
Binissalem
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Binissalem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Binissalem come out ahead of Ferriolense on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Ferriolense taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 15%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Ferriolense Clean Sheet 68%
Binissalem Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferriolense Binissalem
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 11
Draws 5 9
Losses 19 11
Goals Scored 0.97 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.67 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 0.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Ferriolense vs Binissalem
0:1
May 8, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Binissalem vs Ferriolense
3:2
Apr 19, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Ferriolense vs Binissalem
0:0
Nov 30, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Binissalem vs Ferriolense
3:0
May 12, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Binissalem vs Ferriolense
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferriolense 50 / 100
Binissalem 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferriolense Binissalem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ferriolense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Away concern: Binissalem has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Ferriolense scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Binissalem conceded in 58% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Binissalem
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 25%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferriolense

(Home)
19 Jun
Santa Catalina Atletico
4 : 1
Ferriolense
12 Jun
Ferriolense
0 : 1
Binissalem
05 Jun
Esporles
0 : 4
Ferriolense
29 May
Ferriolense
0 : 4
Llosetense
22 May
Alcudia
2 : 1
Ferriolense
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Binissalem

(Away)
18 Sept
Binissalem
0 : 3
Platges de Calvia
12 Sept
Binissalem
1 : 3
Cardassar
05 Sept
Manacor
2 : 1
Binissalem
10 May
Binissalem
2 : 0
CD Son Cladera
03 May
Alcudia
1 : 1
Binissalem
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