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Ferriolense vs Constancia

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 game between Ferriolense and Constancia finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Constancia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Ferriolense
20%
Draws
58%
Constancia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Constancia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Constancia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Constancia are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Ferriolense Clean Sheet 19%
Constancia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferriolense Constancia
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 6 21
Draws 5 5
Losses 19 10
Goals Scored 0.97 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.67 0.78
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Ferriolense vs Constancia
0:2
Nov 28, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Constancia vs Ferriolense
1:0
Apr 26, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Constancia vs Ferriolense
0:0
Dec 13, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Ferriolense vs Constancia
1:0
Mar 1, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Constancia vs Ferriolense
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferriolense 24 / 100
Constancia 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferriolense Constancia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Constancia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferriolense found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Constancia has conceded goals in 50% of their last 36 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Ferriolense went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Constancia
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferriolense

(Home)
19 Jun
Santa Catalina Atletico
4 : 1
Ferriolense
12 Jun
Ferriolense
0 : 1
Binissalem
05 Jun
Esporles
0 : 4
Ferriolense
29 May
Ferriolense
0 : 4
Llosetense
22 May
Alcudia
2 : 1
Ferriolense
Page 1 of 6

Constancia

(Away)
24 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 1
Constancia
17 May
Constancia
1 : 1
Pena Deportiva
10 May
Constancia
3 : 0
Inter Ibiza
03 May
Rotlet Molinar
1 : 3
Constancia
25 Apr
Llosetense
1 : 1
Constancia
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SD Ibiza 20 13 5 2 38:11 44
2 Andratx 20 14 2 4 35:17 44
3 Constancia 20 10 5 5 24:14 35
4 Manacor 20 9 7 4 26:20 34
5 Portmany 20 9 3 8 29:26 30
6 Collerense 20 8 5 7 28:26 29
7 Soller 20 6 5 9 21:36 23
8 Cardassar 20 5 7 8 20:28 22
9 Felanitx 20 5 4 11 29:32 19
10 Ferriolense 20 3 4 13 14:32 13
11 Genova 20 2 5 13 19:41 11
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Platges de Calvia 20 13 6 1 31:13 45
2 PE Sant Jordi 20 12 5 3 33:17 41
3 Formentera 20 12 3 5 36:20 39
4 Mallorca B 20 11 5 4 34:10 38
5 Santanyi 20 11 2 7 23:12 35
6 El Espinar Sant Rafel 20 5 7 8 25:24 22
7 Llosetense 20 6 4 10 17:28 22
8 Alcudia 20 5 6 9 17:32 21
9 Santa Catalina Atletico 20 4 5 11 12:30 17
10 Binissalem 20 2 9 9 17:24 15
11 Esporles 20 1 4 15 15:50 7
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)