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Ferriolense vs Espana

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 11 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Espana in this Tercera Division - Group 11 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Espana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Ferriolense
15%
Draws
42%
Espana
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ferriolense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Espana have won more games recently than Ferriolense.
  • Model gives Ferriolense a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Ferriolense Clean Sheet 16%
Espana Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferriolense Espana
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 8 9
Draws 6 9
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 1.06 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Ferriolense vs Espana
3:2
Dec 15, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Espana vs Ferriolense
2:2
Mar 1, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Ferriolense vs Espana
1:2
Oct 8, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Espana vs Ferriolense
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferriolense 41 / 100
Espana 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferriolense Espana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Ferriolense found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (33 games).

Espana's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 32 matches.

Difficult form: Espana registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ferriolense VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferriolense

(Home)
19 Jun
Santa Catalina Atletico
4 : 1
Ferriolense
12 Jun
Ferriolense
0 : 1
Binissalem
05 Jun
Esporles
0 : 4
Ferriolense
29 May
Ferriolense
0 : 4
Llosetense
22 May
Alcudia
2 : 1
Ferriolense
Page 1 of 7

Espana

(Away)
19 May
Ferriolense
3 : 2
Espana
12 May
Espana
6 : 1
Son Ferrer
05 May
Formentera
6 : 1
Espana
27 Apr
Espana
0 : 1
Manacor
20 Apr
Felanitx
1 : 0
Espana
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Constancia 38 24 13 1 68:21 85
2 Binissalem 38 24 8 6 59:26 80
3 Llosetense 38 23 7 8 81:50 76
4 CD Montuiri 38 22 9 7 66:28 75
5 El Espinar Sant Rafel 38 20 12 6 56:23 72
6 Pena Deportiva 38 20 7 11 61:35 67
7 Santanyi 38 19 10 9 65:40 67
8 Campos 38 14 14 10 38:31 56
9 UD Poblense 38 14 13 11 49:39 55
10 Mercadal 38 14 10 14 42:47 52
11 Collerense 38 11 12 15 46:58 45
12 Felanitx 38 11 9 18 36:58 42
13 Son Ferrer 38 10 12 16 28:50 42
14 Alcudia 38 10 9 19 42:54 39
15 Espana 38 11 6 21 44:66 39
16 Atletico Isleno 38 9 11 18 46:60 38
17 Ferriolense 38 10 6 22 44:60 36
18 Platges de Calvia 38 9 7 22 41:65 34
19 CD Ferrerias 38 5 8 25 27:87 23
20 Alaior 38 4 9 25 35:76 21
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)