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Ferriolense vs Esporles

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ferriolense in this Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ferriolense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Ferriolense
15%
Draws
21%
Esporles
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ferriolense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Ferriolense have won more games recently than Esporles.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Ferriolense taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Ferriolense Clean Sheet 68%
Esporles Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferriolense Esporles
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 1
Draws 5 6
Losses 19 23
Goals Scored 0.97 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.67 2.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Esporles vs Ferriolense
0:4
May 2, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Ferriolense vs Esporles
3:1
Feb 15, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Esporles vs Ferriolense
3:3
Sep 20, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Ferriolense vs Esporles
1:1
Jan 5, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Esporles vs Ferriolense
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferriolense 95 / 100
Esporles 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferriolense Esporles

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ferriolense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Esporles conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Esporles registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Ferriolense scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ferriolense VS Esporles
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferriolense

(Home)
19 Jun
Santa Catalina Atletico
4 : 1
Ferriolense
12 Jun
Ferriolense
0 : 1
Binissalem
05 Jun
Esporles
0 : 4
Ferriolense
29 May
Ferriolense
0 : 4
Llosetense
22 May
Alcudia
2 : 1
Ferriolense
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Esporles

(Away)
20 Jun
Esporles
0 : 2
Cardassar
12 Jun
Felanitx
3 : 0
Esporles
05 Jun
Esporles
0 : 4
Ferriolense
29 May
Genova
1 : 1
Esporles
23 May
Esporles
1 : 3
Soller
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