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Ferriolense vs Penya Ciutadella Esportiva

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 11 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 11 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Ferriolense
17%
Draws
13%
Penya Ciutadella Esportiva
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Ferriolense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Penya Ciutadella Esportiva haven't matched Ferriolense's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Ferriolense's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Ferriolense Clean Sheet 16%
Penya Ciutadella Esportiva Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferriolense Penya Ciutadella Esportiva
Matches Played 36 34
Wins 10 7
Draws 5 9
Losses 21 18
Goals Scored 0.5 0
Goals Conceded 1.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Ferriolense vs Penya Ciutadella Esportiva
5:0
Nov 5, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Penya Ciutadella Esportiva vs Ferriolense
1:2
May 7, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Ferriolense vs Penya Ciutadella Esportiva
1:1
Jan 3, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Penya Ciutadella Esportiva vs Ferriolense
2:0
Mar 28, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Penya Ciutadella Esportiva vs Ferriolense
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferriolense 66 / 100
Penya Ciutadella Esportiva 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferriolense Penya Ciutadella Esportiva

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferriolense scored in 61% of their last 36 games.

Penya Ciutadella Esportiva's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 34 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: Ferriolense remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ferriolense VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mallorca B38248679:2980
2Formentera38239669:2978
3Pena Deportiva382111663:3274
4Constancia381714758:3065
5UD Poblense381614857:3062
6Alcudia381871352:3961
7Mercadal3817101149:4261
8Binissalem3816111149:3859
9CD Montuiri3815121149:4957
10Collerense381671552:5155
11El Espinar Sant Rafel3813141143:3753
12Ferriolense3811121536:4245
13Campos3810141447:5944
14Penya Ciutadella Esportiva3811101746:6143
15Esporles381172035:5640
16Rotlet Molinar389111842:7038
17Santa Catalina Atletico389101933:5237
18Platges de Calvia387141728:5535
19Soller38592432:8124
20UD Alaro384102418:5522