Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 game between Ferriolense and Portmany finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Portmany.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
20%
50%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Portmany
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Portmany come out ahead of Ferriolense on wins alone.
- 30% — that's where the model lands on Ferriolense taking it.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 4 times recently and Portmany have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Ferriolense Clean Sheet 68%
Portmany Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ferriolense | Portmany |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 6 | 9 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 19 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 0.84 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.67 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 21, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Ferriolense vs Portmany
0:2
Dec 20, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Portmany vs Ferriolense
2:0
Feb 8, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Ferriolense vs Portmany
4:1
Sep 14, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Portmany vs Ferriolense
3:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ferriolense 59 / 100
Portmany 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ferriolense Portmany
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ferriolense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Portmany let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Ferriolense found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).
Ferriolense has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS Portmany
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Ferriolense
(Home) 19 Jun
Santa Catalina Atletico
4 : 1 Ferriolense
12 Jun
Ferriolense
0 : 1 Binissalem
05 Jun
Esporles
0 : 4 Ferriolense
29 May
Ferriolense
0 : 4 Llosetense
22 May
Alcudia
2 : 1 Ferriolense
Page 1 of 6
12 Jun
Ferriolense
0 : 1 Binissalem
29 May
Ferriolense
0 : 4 Llosetense
15 May
Ferriolense
4 : 1 Santa Catalina Atletico
02 May
Ferriolense
3 : 1 Esporles
18 Apr
Ferriolense
0 : 0 Alcudia
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Portmany
(Away) 10 May
Portmany
0 : 1 Rotlet Molinar
02 May
Collerense
2 : 1 Portmany
26 Apr
Portmany
1 : 1 Santanyi
18 Apr
CD Son Cladera
1 : 1 Portmany
11 Apr
Portmany
3 : 1 Alcudia
Page 1 of 7
02 May
Collerense
2 : 1 Portmany
18 Apr
CD Son Cladera
1 : 1 Portmany
05 Apr
Mallorca B
5 : 0 Portmany
22 Mar
Formentera
2 : 1 Portmany
07 Mar
Llosetense
3 : 0 Portmany
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SD Ibiza | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 38:11 | 44 |
| 2 | Andratx | 20 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 35:17 | 44 |
| 3 | Constancia | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 24:14 | 35 |
| 4 | Manacor | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 26:20 | 34 |
| 5 | Portmany | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 29:26 | 30 |
| 6 | Collerense | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 28:26 | 29 |
| 7 | Soller | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 21:36 | 23 |
| 8 | Cardassar | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20:28 | 22 |
| 9 | Felanitx | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 29:32 | 19 |
| 10 | Ferriolense | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 14:32 | 13 |
| 11 | Genova | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 19:41 | 11 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Platges de Calvia | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 31:13 | 45 |
| 2 | PE Sant Jordi | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 33:17 | 41 |
| 3 | Formentera | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 36:20 | 39 |
| 4 | Mallorca B | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 34:10 | 38 |
| 5 | Santanyi | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 23:12 | 35 |
| 6 | El Espinar Sant Rafel | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 25:24 | 22 |
| 7 | Llosetense | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 17:28 | 22 |
| 8 | Alcudia | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 17:32 | 21 |
| 9 | Santa Catalina Atletico | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 12:30 | 17 |
| 10 | Binissalem | 20 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 17:24 | 15 |
| 11 | Esporles | 20 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 15:50 | 7 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)
