Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ferro 2 vs Newells Old Boys 2

Argentina Argentina

Reserve League
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Mereles A.
(Penalty)
72' Event
81' Event

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Reserve League matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Ferro 2
15%
Draws
64%
Newells Old Boys 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Newells Old Boys 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Newells Old Boys 2 have won more games recently than Ferro 2.
  • Newells Old Boys 2 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Ferro 2 Clean Sheet 18%
Newells Old Boys 2 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferro 2 Newells Old Boys 2
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.07 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 18, 2026 Reserve League
Ferro 2 vs Newells Old Boys 2
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ferro 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Newells Old Boys 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mereles A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferro 2 23 / 100
Newells Old Boys 2 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferro 2 Newells Old Boys 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newells Old Boys 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Ferro 2 scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Difficult form: Newells Old Boys 2 registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Newells Old Boys 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ferro 2 VS Newells Old Boys 2
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferro 2

(Home)
16 Sept
Ferro 2
1 : 1
Platense 2
08 Sept
Quilmes 2
2 : 1
Ferro 2
02 Sept
Ferro 2
0 : 1
Estudiantes L.P. 2
27 Aug
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2
2 : 1
Ferro 2
19 Aug
Ferro 2
0 : 5
San Martin S.J. 2
Page 1 of 6

Newells Old Boys 2

(Away)
17 Sept
Newells Old Boys 2
4 : 0
San Martin S.J. 2
10 Sept
Ind. Rivadavia 2
1 : 0
Newells Old Boys 2
02 Sept
Newells Old Boys 2
0 : 2
Deportivo Riestra 2
27 Aug
CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2
2 : 0
Newells Old Boys 2
18 Aug
Newells Old Boys 2
1 : 2
Lanus 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Velez Sarsfield 2 18 14 2 2 40:11 44
2 River Plate 2 18 9 4 5 24:17 31
3 Racing Club 2 18 8 6 4 27:23 30
4 Atl. Tucuman 2 18 9 3 6 26:25 30
5 Union de Santa Fe 2 18 7 8 3 23:19 29
6 Argentinos Jrs 2 18 7 7 4 24:18 28
7 Talleres Cordoba 2 18 7 5 6 27:21 26
8 Rosario Central 2 18 7 5 6 25:22 26
9 Instituto 2 18 5 9 4 20:21 24
10 San Lorenzo 2 18 6 6 6 22:24 24
11 Gimnasia L.P. 2 18 6 5 7 19:17 23
12 Gimnasia Mendoza 2 18 6 5 7 16:19 23
13 Banfield 2 18 6 5 7 14:18 23
14 Aldosivi 2 18 5 3 10 17:28 18
15 Barracas Central 2 18 4 5 9 11:24 17
16 Sarmiento Junin 2 18 4 4 10 16:26 16
17 Tigre 2 18 4 4 10 15:25 16
18 Godoy Cruz 2 18 4 3 11 20:30 15
Promotion - Reserve League (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boca Juniors 2 18 11 3 4 33:11 36
2 Independiente 2 18 11 3 4 36:16 36
3 Lanus 2 18 11 2 5 39:24 35
4 Newells Old Boys 2 18 10 4 4 26:16 34
5 Quilmes 2 18 10 3 5 20:12 33
6 Defensa y Justicia 2 18 9 5 4 38:24 32
7 Estudiantes L.P. 2 18 8 4 6 25:16 28
8 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2 18 8 3 7 27:29 27
9 Huracan 2 18 7 5 6 23:17 26
10 Platense 2 18 7 5 6 17:20 26
11 Deportivo Riestra 2 18 7 4 7 25:18 25
12 Ind. Rivadavia 2 18 7 3 8 23:23 24
13 Ferro 2 18 6 4 8 20:23 22
14 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2 18 5 4 9 21:33 19
15 Colon Santa Fe 2 18 5 3 10 15:23 18
16 Atl. Rafaela 2 18 3 3 12 21:36 12
17 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 18 2 5 11 9:32 11
18 San Martin S.J. 2 18 2 2 14 16:59 8
Promotion - Reserve League (Apertura - Play Offs)