Sport Picks
Ferro vs Colon Santa Fe
Argentina
Primera Nacional Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry, Buenos Aires 
Match Events
2'
2'
Marra L.
16'
16'
Nazareno K.
26'
26'
Lago I.
AI Match Summary
Ferro in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ferro.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
30%
28%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ferro
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Ferro lately — more wins on the board than Colon Santa Fe.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Ferro taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Ferro Clean Sheet 68%
Colon Santa Fe Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ferro | Colon Santa Fe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 16 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 6 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.18 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.86 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 17, 2026 Primera Nacional
Ferro vs Colon Santa Fe
2:0
Feb 28, 2026 Primera Nacional
Colon Santa Fe vs Ferro
1:1
Nov 23, 2014 Primera Nacional
Colon Santa Fe vs Ferro
1:0
Sep 24, 2014 Primera Nacional
Ferro vs Colon Santa Fe
1:1
Apr 17, 2000 Liga Profesional
Ferro vs Colon Santa Fe
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ferro Compare
Top Goalscorer Marra L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Colon Santa Fe Compare
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ferro 77 / 100
Colon Santa Fe 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ferro Colon Santa Fe
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ferro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ferro has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Ferro scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
Colon Santa Fe let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Ferro VS Colon Santa Fe
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Ferro
(Home) 19 Sept
Ferro
1 : 0 Ciudad Bolivar
13 Sept
Almirante Brown
0 : 0 Ferro
04 Sept
Ferro
0 : 0 CA Mitre
30 Aug
CA Estudiantes
2 : 2 Ferro
24 Aug
Ferro
1 : 0 All Boys
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Ferro
1 : 0 Ciudad Bolivar
04 Sept
Ferro
0 : 0 CA Mitre
24 Aug
Ferro
1 : 0 All Boys
15 Aug
Ferro
3 : 1 Atletico Atlanta
01 Aug
Ferro
1 : 3 Godoy Cruz
Page 1 of 3
Colon Santa Fe
(Away) 13 Sept
Godoy Cruz
2 : 0 Colon Santa Fe
05 Sept
Colon Santa Fe
1 : 2 Deportivo Moron
30 Aug
Racing Cordoba
1 : 0 Colon Santa Fe
22 Aug
San Miguel
1 : 2 Colon Santa Fe
15 Aug
Colon Santa Fe
3 : 0 Patronato
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Godoy Cruz
2 : 0 Colon Santa Fe
30 Aug
Racing Cordoba
1 : 0 Colon Santa Fe
22 Aug
San Miguel
1 : 2 Colon Santa Fe
01 Aug
Acassuso
1 : 1 Colon Santa Fe
17 Jul
Ferro
2 : 0 Colon Santa Fe
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 35:25 | 58 |
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 47:27 | 55 |
| 3 | Godoy Cruz | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 36:25 | 49 |
| 4 | Deportivo Madryn | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 42:28 | 46 |
| 5 | Almirante Brown | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 23:16 | 46 |
| 6 | Colon Santa Fe | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 35:25 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Estudiantes | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 27:25 | 42 |
| 8 | Ciudad Bolivar | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 24:27 | 39 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 29 | 8 | 13 | 8 | 22:17 | 37 |
| 10 | Racing Cordoba | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 26:34 | 35 |
| 11 | Chaco For Ever | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 26:29 | 33 |
| 12 | Defensores de Belgrano | 29 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 22:26 | 33 |
| 13 | All Boys | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 17:26 | 32 |
| 14 | CA Mitre | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 27:37 | 32 |
| 15 | Central Norte | 29 | 6 | 13 | 10 | 19:27 | 31 |
| 16 | San Miguel | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 24:34 | 31 |
| 17 | San Telmo | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 23:34 | 31 |
| 18 | Acassuso | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 21:34 | 26 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 29 | 14 | 11 | 4 | 31:15 | 53 |
| 2 | Temperley | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 36:24 | 53 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 44:35 | 52 |
| 4 | Atletico Atlanta | 29 | 15 | 3 | 11 | 34:28 | 48 |
| 5 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 31:26 | 45 |
| 6 | Midland | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 32:25 | 44 |
| 7 | San Martin S.J. | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 31:27 | 42 |
| 8 | Atl. Rafaela | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 25:26 | 42 |
| 9 | Deportivo Maipu | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 36:30 | 40 |
| 10 | Colegiales | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 29:28 | 40 |
| 11 | San Martin T. | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 32:30 | 39 |
| 12 | Quilmes | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 28:24 | 35 |
| 13 | Almagro | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 26:36 | 35 |
| 14 | Agropecuario | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 25:34 | 33 |
| 15 | Nueva Chicago | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 21:28 | 32 |
| 16 | Patronato | 29 | 5 | 15 | 9 | 23:30 | 30 |
| 17 | Chacarita Juniors | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 19:31 | 27 |
| 18 | Club Atletico Guemes | 29 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 23:49 | 23 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
