Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ferro vs Colon Santa Fe

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Marra L.
Assist: Hoyos E.
16'
Nazareno K.
26'
Lago I.

AI Match Summary

Ferro in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ferro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Ferro
40%
Draws
29%
Colon Santa Fe
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ferro lately — more wins on the board than Colon Santa Fe.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Ferro Clean Sheet 20%
Colon Santa Fe Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferro Colon Santa Fe
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 11
Draws 6 10
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.63 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 Primera Nacional
Ferro vs Colon Santa Fe
2:0
Feb 28, 2026 Primera Nacional
Colon Santa Fe vs Ferro
1:1
Nov 23, 2014 Primera Nacional
Colon Santa Fe vs Ferro
1:0
Sep 24, 2014 Primera Nacional
Ferro vs Colon Santa Fe
1:1
Apr 17, 2000 Liga Profesional
Ferro vs Colon Santa Fe
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ferro Compare

Top Goalscorer Marra L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Colon Santa Fe Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferro 32 / 100
Colon Santa Fe 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferro Colon Santa Fe

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferro has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Ferro scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Colon Santa Fe let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Ferro VS Colon Santa Fe
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ferro21134425:1443
2Deportivo Moron20105529:1935
3Colon Santa Fe2198427:1735
4Los Andes2088419:832
5CA Estudiantes2187618:1631
6Almirante Brown2187615:1331
7Ciudad Bolivar2079419:1630
8Deportivo Madryn2078527:2229
9Godoy Cruz2077620:1728
10San Miguel20510517:2125
11Racing Cordoba2166920:2524
12Defensores de Belgrano2058714:1823
13CA Mitre2149820:2721
14All Boys2049713:2021
15San Telmo2048816:2120
16Acassuso20541115:2319
17Central Norte2047912:2119
18Chaco For Ever20371017:2616
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gimnasia Jujuy20115432:2238
2Atletico Atlanta20113625:1536
3Tristan Suarez2089317:1133
4Temperley20710319:1731
5Midland2086621:1530
6San Martin T.2179519:1530
7Deportivo Maipu2185827:2129
8Atl. Rafaela2076715:1627
9San Martin S.J.1975720:1926
10Nueva Chicago2068618:1826
11Gimnasia y Tiro2067719:2125
12Almagro2074916:2225
13Quilmes2066818:1624
14Colegiales2065918:2023
15Chacarita Juniors2065916:2123
16Patronato20410613:1722
17Agropecuario2148915:2520
18Club Atletico Guemes20541118:3419