Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ferro vs Defensores de Belgrano

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
De Tomasso J.
24'
Sanchez F.
34' Event
Gonzalez A.

AI Match Summary

Ferro in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ferro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ferro
6%
Draws
4%
Defensores de Belgrano
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ferro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ferro have won more games recently than Defensores de Belgrano.
  • Model gives Ferro a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Ferro Clean Sheet 68%
Defensores de Belgrano Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferro Defensores de Belgrano
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 17 10
Draws 6 10
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.25 0.38
Goals Conceded 0.38 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2026 Primera Nacional
Ferro vs Defensores de Belgrano
2:1
Apr 26, 2022 Primera Nacional
Defensores de Belgrano vs Ferro
2:2
Oct 31, 2021 Primera Nacional
Defensores de Belgrano vs Ferro
0:2
Jul 4, 2021 Primera Nacional
Ferro vs Defensores de Belgrano
1:1
Dec 7, 2018 Primera Nacional
Defensores de Belgrano vs Ferro
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ferro Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Parisi L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Defensores de Belgrano Compare

Top Goalscorer Dellarossa J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferro 95 / 100
Defensores de Belgrano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferro Defensores de Belgrano

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Ferro stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Ferro's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensores de Belgrano let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Ferro VS Defensores de Belgrano
1.25 Goals Scored 0.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ferro21134425:1443
2Deportivo Moron20105529:1935
3Colon Santa Fe2198427:1735
4Los Andes2088419:832
5Ciudad Bolivar21710419:1631
6CA Estudiantes2187618:1631
7Almirante Brown2187615:1331
8Deportivo Madryn2078527:2229
9Godoy Cruz2077620:1728
10San Miguel20510517:2125
11Racing Cordoba2166920:2524
12Defensores de Belgrano2058714:1823
13All Boys21410713:2022
14CA Mitre2149820:2721
15San Telmo2048816:2120
16Acassuso20541115:2319
17Central Norte2047912:2119
18Chaco For Ever20371017:2616
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gimnasia Jujuy20115432:2238
2Atletico Atlanta20113625:1536
3Temperley21810321:1734
4Tristan Suarez2089317:1133
5Midland2086621:1530
6San Martin T.2179519:1530
7Deportivo Maipu2185827:2129
8Atl. Rafaela2176815:1827
9San Martin S.J.1975720:1926
10Nueva Chicago2068618:1826
11Gimnasia y Tiro2067719:2125
12Almagro2074916:2225
13Quilmes2066818:1624
14Colegiales2065918:2023
15Chacarita Juniors2065916:2123
16Patronato20410613:1722
17Agropecuario2148915:2520
18Club Atletico Guemes20541118:3419