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Ferro W vs Boca Juniors W

Argentina Argentina

Primera A Women
Sun, Jul 12, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ferro W host Boca Juniors W in the Primera A Women. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Ferro W have averaged 1.25 scored and 0.5 conceded recently, against Boca Juniors W's 0.75 scored and 0.38 conceded. Head-to-head, Ferro W have won 2 to Boca Juniors W's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 17, 2025, ending 1:0. The numbers (0.81 xG vs 0.63) point toward Ferro W. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Ferro W
20%
Draws
38%
Boca Juniors W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ferro W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ferro W come out ahead of Boca Juniors W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Ferro W a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera A Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Ferro W Clean Sheet 20%
Boca Juniors W Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferro W Boca Juniors W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 15 14
Draws 5 8
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.25 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2025 Primera A Women
Ferro W vs Boca Juniors W
1:0
May 24, 2025 Primera A Women
Ferro W vs Boca Juniors W
2:1
Dec 4, 2024 Primera A Women
Ferro W vs Boca Juniors W
1:1
May 25, 2024 Primera A Women
Boca Juniors W vs Ferro W
2:0
Dec 6, 2023 Primera A Women
Boca Juniors W vs Ferro W
4:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferro W 42 / 100
Boca Juniors W 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferro W Boca Juniors W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Ferro W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Ferro W's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Boca Juniors W let in goals in 48% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ferro W VS Boca Juniors W
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
25% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%