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Ferroviaria U20 vs Flamengo SP U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20
Our Tip

Match Events

65'
Vitor Machado da Silva Santos J.
65'
Cruz K.
83' Event
Zuccaro G.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Ferroviaria U20
20%
Draws
33%
Flamengo SP U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ferroviaria U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Flamengo SP U20 haven't matched Ferroviaria U20's recent run of results.
  • Ferroviaria U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Ferroviaria U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ferroviaria U20, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Ferroviaria U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Flamengo SP U20 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferroviaria U20 Flamengo SP U20
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 10
Draws 8 5
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.47 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Paulista U20
Ferroviaria U20 vs Flamengo SP U20
2:1
Sep 18, 2026 Paulista U20
Flamengo SP U20 vs Ferroviaria U20
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ferroviaria U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Zuccaro G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bonomo L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Flamengo SP U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Juliano
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviaria U20 95 / 100
Flamengo SP U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferroviaria U20 Flamengo SP U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ferroviaria U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferroviaria U20's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Flamengo SP U20 conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Ferroviaria U20 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ferroviaria U20 VS Flamengo SP U20
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferroviaria U20

(Home)
26 Sept
Ferroviaria U20
2 : 1
Flamengo SP U20
18 Sept
Flamengo SP U20
2 : 0
Ferroviaria U20
12 Sept
Ferroviaria U20
5 : 0
Sao Bento U20
05 Sept
Sertaozinho U20
1 : 1
Ferroviaria U20
21 Aug
Ferroviaria U20
2 : 0
Jabaquara U20
Page 1 of 6

Flamengo SP U20

(Away)
09 Oct
Flamengo SP U20
0 : 0
Bragantino U20
26 Sept
Ferroviaria U20
2 : 1
Flamengo SP U20
18 Sept
Flamengo SP U20
2 : 0
Ferroviaria U20
12 Sept
Ituano U20
3 : 0
Flamengo SP U20
21 Aug
Flamengo SP U20
1 : 0
Capivariano U20
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Flamengo SP U20 3
Ferroviaria U20 2
CA Bandeirante U20 1
Bragantino U20 11
Portuguesa Santista U20 3
Novorizontino U20 2
XV de Jau U20 2
Corinthians U20 5
Piracicaba U20 1
Sfera U20 2
Uniao Suzano U20 2
Guarani U20 5
Sertaozinho U20 1
Santo Andre U20 4
Gremio Prudente U20 0
CA Juventus U20 4
Capivariano U20 2
Agua Santa U20 1
Paulinense U20 3
Ibrachina U20 5
Osasco Sporting U20 3
Desportivo U20 5
EC Sao Bernardo U20 0
Sao Paulo U20 2
Ponte Preta U20 6
Portuguesa U20 1
Jabaquara U20 1
Santos U20 6
Botafogo SP U20 4
Osasco Audax U20 1
Ituano U20 2
Palmeiras U20 3
1/8-finals
Flamengo SP U20 0
Bragantino U20 0
Portuguesa Santista U20 0
Corinthians U20 0
Sfera U20 2
Guarani U20 1
Santo Andre U20 3
CA Juventus U20 1
Capivariano U20 2
Ibrachina U20 1
Desportivo U20 0
Sao Paulo U20 0
Ponte Preta U20 -
Santos U20 -
Botafogo SP U20 -
Palmeiras U20 -
Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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