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Ferroviaria U20 vs Santos U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Grando J. D.
31' Event
Assis G.
57'
Pedro Hian

AI Match Summary

Santos U20 in this Paulista U20 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santos U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Ferroviaria U20
15%
Draws
51%
Santos U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santos U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Santos U20 lately — more wins on the board than Ferroviaria U20.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Ferroviaria U20 Clean Sheet 11%
Santos U20 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferroviaria U20 Santos U20
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 17 21
Draws 8 5
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 1.58 2.13
Goals Conceded 0.87 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Paulista U20
Ferroviaria U20 vs Santos U20
1:2
Jan 15, 2026 Copinha
Ferroviaria U20 vs Santos U20
1:4
Jun 21, 2025 Paulista U20
Santos U20 vs Ferroviaria U20
1:1
Jan 14, 2025 Copinha
Ferroviaria U20 vs Santos U20
3:2
Jan 9, 2025 Copinha
Ferroviaria U20 vs Santos U20
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ferroviaria U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Brizola Santos G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Santos U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Grando J. D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Assis G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviaria U20 30 / 100
Santos U20 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferroviaria U20 Santos U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Ferroviaria U20's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Ferroviaria U20 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Santos U20 has conceded goals in 59% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ferroviaria U20 VS Santos U20
1.38 Goals Scored 2.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferroviaria U20

(Home)
26 Sept
Ferroviaria U20
2 : 1
Flamengo SP U20
18 Sept
Flamengo SP U20
2 : 0
Ferroviaria U20
12 Sept
Ferroviaria U20
5 : 0
Sao Bento U20
05 Sept
Sertaozinho U20
1 : 1
Ferroviaria U20
21 Aug
Ferroviaria U20
2 : 0
Jabaquara U20
Page 1 of 7

Santos U20

(Away)
25 Sept
Santos U20
2 : 0
Jabaquara U20
21 Sept
Jabaquara U20
1 : 4
Santos U20
12 Sept
Santos U20
2 : 0
Mirassol U20
10 Sept
Santos U20
2 : 1
Cuiaba U20
04 Sept
Portuguesa Santista U20
0 : 1
Santos U20
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santos U20 13 10 2 1 32:5 32
2 Corinthians U20 13 10 2 1 29:3 32
3 CA Juventus U20 13 9 1 3 35:16 28
4 Ferroviaria U20 13 7 4 2 21:9 25
5 Portuguesa U20 13 7 4 2 21:13 25
6 Sertaozinho U20 13 5 4 4 13:12 19
7 Portuguesa Santista U20 13 5 2 6 16:19 17
8 Ponte Preta U20 13 4 3 6 15:29 15
9 Uniao Suzano U20 13 4 2 7 10:21 14
10 Jabaquara U20 13 4 1 8 9:17 13
11 Itapirense U20 13 3 1 9 14:29 10
12 America SP U20 13 3 0 10 8:31 9
13 Sao Bento U20 13 2 3 8 14:24 9
14 Mirassol U20 13 1 5 7 12:21 8
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ibrachina U20 14 11 1 2 34:8 34
2 Sao Paulo U20 14 10 3 1 23:4 33
3 Novorizontino U20 14 7 4 3 23:13 25
4 Santo Andre U20 14 6 4 4 22:16 22
5 Desportivo U20 14 6 4 4 19:13 22
6 Osasco Sporting U20 14 5 6 3 19:17 21
7 Botafogo SP U20 14 4 7 3 24:17 19
8 Piracicaba U20 14 3 10 1 12:9 19
9 EC Sao Bernardo U20 14 3 7 4 18:18 16
10 Paulinense U20 14 4 3 7 13:18 15
11 CA Bandeirante U20 14 3 3 8 12:26 12
12 Uniao Sao Joao U20 14 2 6 6 11:15 12
13 Sao Caetano U20 14 3 2 9 14:25 11
14 Velo Clube U20 14 1 8 5 6:24 11
15 Aguai U20 14 2 2 10 10:37 8
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bragantino U20 14 13 0 1 61:9 39
2 Palmeiras U20 14 11 2 1 29:7 35
3 Guarani U20 14 11 1 2 28:11 34
4 Sfera U20 14 7 1 6 28:16 22
5 Osasco Audax U20 14 6 4 4 20:13 22
6 Agua Santa U20 14 6 3 5 19:23 21
7 Capivariano U20 14 5 6 3 20:14 21
8 Flamengo SP U20 14 5 2 7 11:20 17
9 XV de Jau U20 14 5 2 7 13:26 17
10 Gremio Prudente U20 14 4 4 6 22:25 16
11 Ituano U20 14 3 5 6 17:26 14
12 Referencia U20 14 4 1 9 11:21 13
13 Maua FC U20 14 2 3 9 7:28 9
14 Tanabi U20 14 2 3 9 11:37 9
15 Porto Football U20 14 2 1 11 6:27 7
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)