Sport Picks
Ferroviaria vs Guarani Prediction & H2H Stats
Brazil
Serie C Arena Fonte Luminosa, Araraquara 
Match Events
13'
13'
Allison
22'
22'
Willian Farias
25'
25'
Guilherme Cachoeira
AI Match Summary
The Serie C game between Ferroviaria and Guarani finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
35%
20%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ferroviaria
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Ferroviaria carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Ferroviaria's way, sitting at 70%.
- Regular Serie C form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Ferroviaria Clean Sheet 68%
Guarani Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ferroviaria | Guarani |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 10 |
| Draws | 10 | 11 |
| Losses | 6 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.4 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.83 | 1.2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 27, 2026 Serie C
Ferroviaria vs Guarani
2:2
Feb 18, 2023 Paulista
Ferroviaria vs Guarani
1:0
Mar 12, 2022 Paulista
Guarani vs Ferroviaria
2:1
Apr 21, 2021 Paulista
Ferroviaria vs Guarani
1:2
Mar 2, 2019 Paulista
Guarani vs Ferroviaria
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ferroviaria Compare
Top Goalscorer Allison
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Guarani Compare
Top Goalscorer Guilherme Cachoeira
1 Goals Assists Leader Guilherme Parede
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ferroviaria 77 / 100
Guarani 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ferroviaria Guarani
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ferroviaria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ferroviaria went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Ferroviaria found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).
Defensive concern: Guarani conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Ferroviaria VS Guarani
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Ferroviaria
(Home) 27 Sept
Brusque
1 : 1 Ferroviaria
20 Sept
Ferroviaria
3 : 2 Brusque
13 Sept
Ferroviaria
1 : 0 Paysandu PA
05 Sept
Internacional de Limeira
3 : 3 Ferroviaria
29 Aug
Ferroviaria
1 : 0 Confianca
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Ferroviaria
3 : 2 Brusque
13 Sept
Ferroviaria
1 : 0 Paysandu PA
29 Aug
Ferroviaria
1 : 0 Confianca
17 Aug
Ferroviaria
4 : 0 Paysandu PA
25 Jul
Ferroviaria
0 : 0 Maranhao
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Guarani
(Away) 29 Aug
Guarani
2 : 2 Brusque
22 Aug
Botafogo PB
3 : 1 Guarani
17 Aug
Guarani
2 : 2 Ypiranga FC
10 Aug
Anapolis
2 : 1 Guarani
27 Jul
Guarani
3 : 1 Internacional de Limeira
Page 1 of 6
22 Aug
Botafogo PB
3 : 1 Guarani
10 Aug
Anapolis
2 : 1 Guarani
12 Jul
Paysandu PA
3 : 2 Guarani
28 Jun
Figueirense
1 : 1 Guarani
22 Jun
Confianca
2 : 0 Guarani
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Botafogo PB | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 28:19 | 33 |
| 2 | Brusque | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 28:22 | 32 |
| 3 | Ferroviaria | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 22:15 | 30 |
| 4 | Maringa FC | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 32:30 | 30 |
| 5 | Floresta EC | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 22:20 | 30 |
| 6 | Internacional de Limeira | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 22:20 | 30 |
| 7 | Paysandu PA | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 26:27 | 29 |
| 8 | Santa Cruz | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 20:15 | 29 |
| 9 | Ypiranga FC | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 27:24 | 29 |
| 10 | Guarani | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 34:24 | 28 |
| 11 | Figueirense | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 19:22 | 28 |
| 12 | Maranhao | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 19:18 | 27 |
| 13 | Amazonas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 21:23 | 26 |
| 14 | SER Caxias do Sul | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 17:16 | 25 |
| 15 | Ituano | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 18:21 | 22 |
| 16 | Volta Redonda | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 13:25 | 21 |
| 17 | Barra FC (Santa Catarina) | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21:21 | 21 |
| 18 | Anapolis | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 17:22 | 19 |
| 19 | Itabaiana | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 14:27 | 17 |
| 20 | Confianca | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 11:20 | 13 |
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)
