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Ferroviaria W vs Club Nacional de Football W

South America South America

Copa Libertadores Women 2021 Estadio Arsenio Erico, Asunción
Thu, Nov 18, 2021
2 - 1
08:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Badell Y.
63' Event
Rafa Mineira
76'
Sochor

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Ferroviaria W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ferroviaria W
6%
Draws
4%
Club Nacional de Football W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ferroviaria W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ferroviaria W come out ahead of Club Nacional de Football W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Ferroviaria W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Ferroviaria W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ferroviaria W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Ferroviaria W Clean Sheet 20%
Club Nacional de Football W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferroviaria W Club Nacional de Football W
Matches Played 32 24
Wins 18 5
Draws 9 3
Losses 5 16
Goals Scored 1.63 0
Goals Conceded 0.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2021 Copa Libertadores Women
Ferroviaria W vs Club Nacional de Football W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ferroviaria W Compare

Top Goalscorer Rafa Mineira
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Club Nacional de Football W Compare

Top Goalscorer Badell Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviaria W 85 / 100
Club Nacional de Football W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferroviaria W Club Nacional de Football W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferroviaria W found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (32 games).

Club Nacional de Football W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 24 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Ferroviaria W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ferroviaria W VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferroviaria W

(Home)
26 Jul
EC Juventude W
0 : 0
Ferroviaria W
20 Jul
Ferroviaria W
1 : 0
Corinthians W
17 Jul
Corinthians W
1 : 0
Ferroviaria W
28 May
Ferroviaria W
8 : 0
UD Alagoana W
24 May
Atletico-MG W
2 : 3
Ferroviaria W
Page 1 of 7

Club Nacional de Football W

(Away)
09 Oct
Libertad Limpeno W
0 : 0
Club Nacional de Football W
06 Oct
Dep. Cali W
1 : 0
Club Nacional de Football W
03 Oct
Club Nacional de Football W
0 : 0
U. De Chile W
12 Oct
America de Cali W
4 : 0
Club Nacional de Football W
09 Oct
Boca Juniors W
5 : 1
Club Nacional de Football W
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Ferroviaria W3
Cerro Porteno W0
Avai Kindermann W2
Indep. Santa Fe W3
Dep. Cali W1
Club Nacional de Football W2
Corinthians W3
A. Lima W1
Semi-finals
Ferroviaria W1
Indep. Santa Fe W2
Club Nacional de Football W0
Corinthians W8
Final
Indep. Santa Fe W0
Corinthians W2
Ferroviaria W2
Club Nacional de Football W1