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Ferroviaria W vs Palmeiras W

Brazil Brazil

Paulista Women Arena Fonte Luminosa, Araraquara
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Ana Guimaraes
52'
Benitez L.
89' Event
Maressa

AI Match Summary

The Paulista Women game between Ferroviaria W and Palmeiras W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ferroviaria W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Ferroviaria W
28%
Draws
22%
Palmeiras W
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Ferroviaria W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Ferroviaria W haven't matched Palmeiras W's recent run of results.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Ferroviaria W taking it.
  • Regular Paulista Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Ferroviaria W Clean Sheet 16%
Palmeiras W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferroviaria W Palmeiras W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 19
Draws 7 6
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 2.75 2.25
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2026 Paulista Women
Ferroviaria W vs Palmeiras W
2:1
Dec 4, 2025 Paulista Women
Palmeiras W vs Ferroviaria W
1:1
Nov 23, 2025 Paulista Women
Ferroviaria W vs Palmeiras W
0:2
Nov 20, 2025 Copa do Brasil Women
Ferroviaria W vs Palmeiras W
2:4
Sep 22, 2025 Paulista Women
Ferroviaria W vs Palmeiras W
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ferroviaria W Compare

Top Goalscorer Maressa
1 Goals
Assists Leader Monique
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Palmeiras W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ana Guimaraes
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviaria W 48 / 100
Palmeiras W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferroviaria W Palmeiras W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferroviaria W found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Ferroviaria W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Palmeiras W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ferroviaria W VS Palmeiras W
2.75 Goals Scored 2.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferroviaria W

(Home)
17 Jul
Corinthians W
1 : 0
Ferroviaria W
28 May
Ferroviaria W
8 : 0
UD Alagoana W
24 May
Atletico-MG W
2 : 3
Ferroviaria W
21 May
Ferroviaria W
2 : 1
Palmeiras W
18 May
Ferroviaria W
2 : 0
Vitoria W
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Palmeiras W

(Away)
18 Jul
Palmeiras W
1 : 0
Sao Paulo W
12 Jul
CR Flamengo W
1 : 3
Palmeiras W
09 Jul
Palmeiras W
3 : 0
Paraguay W
30 May
Palmeiras W
0 : 1
Corinthians W
24 May
Bragantino W
1 : 2
Palmeiras W
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ferroviaria W43018:39
2Corinthians W421110:47
3Palmeiras W42117:27
4Sao Paulo W42024:46
5Santos W41214:45
6Bragantino W41213:85
7Taubate W41124:44
8Mirassol W40131:121
Promotion - Paulista Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - Paulista Women (Play Offs)