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Ferroviaria W vs Rio Branco SP W

Brazil Brazil

Paulista Women 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ferroviaria W play Rio Branco SP W in the Paulista Women 2017. Ferroviaria W are favorites here. Recently, Ferroviaria W averaged 2.19 goals scored and 0.81 conceded. Rio Branco SP W averaged 0.71 goals scored and 4.07 conceded. In past meetings, Ferroviaria W won 2, Rio Branco SP W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 4, 2017 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Ferroviaria W and 1.19 for Rio Branco SP W. This points to a Ferroviaria W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
Ferroviaria W
20%
Draws
9%
Rio Branco SP W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ferroviaria W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ferroviaria W picked up more points recently compared to Rio Branco SP W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Ferroviaria W Clean Sheet 20%
Rio Branco SP W Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 78%
Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferroviaria W Rio Branco SP W
Matches Played 31 14
Wins 18 0
Draws 8 1
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 2.19 0.71
Goals Conceded 0.81 4.07

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2017 Paulista Women
Ferroviaria W vs Rio Branco SP W
4:0
Apr 16, 2017 Paulista Women
Rio Branco SP W vs Ferroviaria W
0:6

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviaria W 68 / 100
Rio Branco SP W 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferroviaria W Rio Branco SP W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ferroviaria W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Ferroviaria W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +12.9%
1.59
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.2%
1.67
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ferroviaria W attacking → ← attacking Rio Branco SP W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferroviaria W scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Rio Branco SP W let in goals in 100% of their last 14 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Ferroviaria W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Rio Branco SP W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

62 Points in last 5 1
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Rio Preto W14130155:1039
2Ponte Preta W1492332:1829
3Ferroviaria W1484242:1328
4Osasco Audax W1465326:2123
5Piracicaba W1454533:1919
6Francana W1432910:4911
7Botafogo SP W1430118:299
8Rio Branco SP W14011310:571
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Corinthians W14122070:638
2Santos W14122041:638
3Sao Jose W1482421:1026
4Portuguesa W1463524:1921
5Embu Das Artes W1432915:2911
6Taubate W14311010:3310
7CA Juventus W142398:329
8Centro Olimpico W14131010:646