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Ferroviaria W vs Taubate W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paulista Women Arena Fonte Luminosa, Araraquara
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Match Events

6' Event
Beatriz A.
20' Event
Sirlayne (Sissi) R.
38' Event
Lodi A.

AI Match Summary

The Paulista Women game between Ferroviaria W and Taubate W finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ferroviaria W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Ferroviaria W
20%
Draws
0%
Taubate W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ferroviaria W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Taubate W haven't matched Ferroviaria W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Ferroviaria W a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Paulista Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Ferroviaria W here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Ferroviaria W Clean Sheet 68%
Taubate W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferroviaria W Taubate W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 7
Draws 10 4
Losses 4 19
Goals Scored 1.72 1.23
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2026 Paulista Women
Ferroviaria W vs Taubate W
4:2
Sep 3, 2025 Paulista Women
Taubate W vs Ferroviaria W
0:2
May 8, 2025 Paulista Women
Ferroviaria W vs Taubate W
6:0
Sep 29, 2024 Paulista Women
Ferroviaria W vs Taubate W
2:0
Jun 21, 2023 Paulista Women
Ferroviaria W vs Taubate W
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ferroviaria W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sirlayne (Sissi) R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rhaissa
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Taubate W Compare

Top Goalscorer Beatriz A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lodi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviaria W 95 / 100
Taubate W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferroviaria W Taubate W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ferroviaria W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Taubate W has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Taubate W registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Ferroviaria W found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Ferroviaria W VS Taubate W
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferroviaria W

(Home)
05 Sept
Ferroviaria W
2 : 2
CR Flamengo W
29 Aug
CR Flamengo W
1 : 0
Ferroviaria W
26 Aug
Ferroviaria W
3 : 0
Sao Paulo W
22 Aug
Ferroviaria W
1 : 1
Fluminense W
15 Aug
Internacional W
1 : 2
Ferroviaria W
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Taubate W

(Away)
26 Aug
Corinthians W
6 : 2
Taubate W
22 Aug
Vasco W
2 : 1
Taubate W
16 Aug
Taubate W
0 : 2
Vasco W
11 Aug
Taubate W
0 : 1
Palmeiras W
08 Aug
Taubate W
0 : 1
Itabirito W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferroviaria W 7 5 1 1 15:5 16
2 Palmeiras W 7 5 1 1 13:3 16
3 Corinthians W 7 4 1 2 20:8 13
4 Sao Paulo W 7 4 0 3 7:7 12
5 Santos W 7 2 3 2 6:6 9
6 Bragantino W 7 1 4 2 5:13 7
7 Taubate W 7 1 1 5 8:15 4
8 Mirassol W 7 0 1 6 2:19 1
Promotion - Paulista Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - Paulista Women (Play Offs)