Sport Picks

Mozambique

Mocambola 2018

Ferroviario Beira

3 - 1

1º de Maio de Quelimane

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Mocambola 2018 game between Ferroviario Beira and 1º de Maio de Quelimane finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ferroviario Beira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Ferroviario Beira

28%

Draws

22%

1º de Maio de Quelimane

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Ferroviario Beira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Ferroviario Beira carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Ferroviario Beira a 50% chance of winning this.
Regular Mocambola 2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%

Ferroviario Beira Clean Sheet 20%

1º de Maio de Quelimane Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ferroviario Beira	1º de Maio de Quelimane
Matches Played	41	30
Wins	19	8
Draws	17	8
Losses	5	14
Goals Scored	0.75	0
Goals Conceded	0.63	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2018 Mocambola

Ferroviario Beira vs 1º de Maio de Quelimane

Possession: 43% - 59% Cards: 0 - 1

3:1

Apr 15, 2018 Mocambola

1º de Maio de Quelimane vs Ferroviario Beira

Possession: 44% - 41% Cards: 2 - 3

1:1

Aug 20, 2017 Mocambola

Ferroviario Beira vs 1º de Maio de Quelimane

Possession: 54% - 41% Cards: 2 - 0

3:1

Apr 30, 2017 Mocambola

1º de Maio de Quelimane vs Ferroviario Beira

Possession: 44% - 45% Cards: 2 - 1

0:1

Jul 23, 2016 Mocambola

Ferroviario Beira vs 1º de Maio de Quelimane

Possession: 42% - 60% Cards: 2 - 1

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviario Beira 49 / 100

1º de Maio de Quelimane 23 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ferroviario Beira 1º de Maio de Quelimane

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FER Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Ferroviario Beira remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Ferroviario Beira scored in 63% of their last 41 games.

1º de Maio de Quelimane has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Ferroviario Beira VS -

0.75 Goals Scored 0

0.63 Goals Conceded 0

38% Over 1.5 0%

25% Over 2.5 0%

13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	UD Songo	30	17	7	6	38:26	58
2	Ferroviario Maputo	30	17	3	10	30:23	54
3	Liga Desportivo Maputo	30	15	6	9	37:25	51
4	Ferroviario Nampula	30	13	8	9	46:34	47
5	Maxaquene	30	11	11	8	34:28	44
6	Chibuto	30	11	10	9	39:24	43
7	Textafrica	30	11	9	10	26:34	42
8	Costa do Sol	30	9	13	8	24:17	40
9	Ferroviario Beira	30	10	9	11	37:28	39
10	Desportivo de Nacala	30	10	8	12	24:23	38
11	ENH Vilankulo	30	10	8	12	21:26	38
12	Incomati Xinavane	30	8	11	11	19:21	35
13	Ferroviario Nacala	30	8	11	11	18:26	35
14	UP de Manica	30	8	10	12	24:34	34
15	1º de Maio de Quelimane	30	8	8	14	24:36	32
16	Sporting Nampula	30	4	8	18	19:55	20