Sport Picks

Mozambique

Mocambola 2016

Ferroviario Beira

1 - 0

Estrela Vermelha Maputo

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Mocambola 2016 game between Ferroviario Beira and Estrela Vermelha Maputo finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ferroviario Beira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

Ferroviario Beira

22%

Draws

18%

Estrela Vermelha Maputo

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Ferroviario Beira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Estrela Vermelha Maputo haven't matched Ferroviario Beira's recent run of results.
Ferroviario Beira are the model's pick here, at 60%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%

Ferroviario Beira Clean Sheet 20%

Estrela Vermelha Maputo Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ferroviario Beira	Estrela Vermelha Maputo
Matches Played	45	31
Wins	21	6
Draws	18	12
Losses	6	13
Goals Scored	0.75	0
Goals Conceded	0.63	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2016 Mocambola

Ferroviario Beira vs Estrela Vermelha Maputo

Possession: 59% - 45% Cards: 1 - 2

1:0

May 22, 2016 Mocambola

Estrela Vermelha Maputo vs Ferroviario Beira

Possession: 50% - 50% Cards: 4 - 3

2:2

Sep 28, 2014 Mocambola

Estrela Vermelha Maputo vs Ferroviario Beira

Possession: 42% - 60% Cards: 2 - 0

1:1

Jun 11, 2014 Mocambola

Ferroviario Beira vs Estrela Vermelha Maputo

Possession: 58% - 41% Cards: 1 - 4

2:0

Aug 10, 2013 Mocambola

Ferroviario Beira vs Estrela Vermelha Maputo

Possession: 57% - 55% Cards: 0 - 1

0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviario Beira 58 / 100

Estrela Vermelha Maputo 19 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ferroviario Beira Estrela Vermelha Maputo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FER Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estrela Vermelha Maputo has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Ferroviario Beira has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Ferroviario Beira scored in 62% of their last 45 games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Ferroviario Beira VS -

0.75 Goals Scored 0

0.63 Goals Conceded 0

38% Over 1.5 0%

25% Over 2.5 0%

13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ferroviario Beira	30	18	7	5	40:21	61
2	UD Songo	30	16	7	7	32:14	55
3	Chibuto	30	13	11	6	35:19	50
4	Liga Desportivo Maputo	30	15	5	10	37:21	50
5	Ferroviario Nampula	30	13	11	6	37:21	50
6	Ferroviario Maputo	30	13	10	7	27:18	49
7	Maxaquene	30	11	10	9	28:26	43
8	Ferroviario Nacala	30	10	12	8	22:24	42
9	Desportivo de Nacala	30	10	10	10	39:34	40
10	Costa do Sol	30	10	8	12	34:33	38
11	ENH Vilankulo	30	9	10	11	22:28	37
12	Chingale de Tete	30	9	6	15	19:41	33
13	1º de Maio de Quelimane	30	7	11	12	30:36	32
14	Estrela Vermelha Maputo	30	6	12	12	28:36	30
15	Desportivo Maputo	30	2	13	15	15:34	19
16	Desportivo de Niassa	30	3	7	20	11:50	16