Sport Picks
Ferroviario Beira vs Ferroviario Nampula
Mozambique
Mocambola 2025 
Match Events
11'
11'
23'
23'
62'
62'
Valter
AI Match Summary
Ferroviario Beira in this Mocambola 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ferroviario Beira.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
28%
22%
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Ferroviario Beira
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
76%
/ High Confidence
- Ferroviario Beira have won more games recently than Ferroviario Nampula.
- Win probability leans Ferroviario Beira's way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Ferroviario Beira Clean Sheet 68%
Ferroviario Nampula Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ferroviario Beira | Ferroviario Nampula |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 25 |
| Wins | 13 | 9 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 4 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.38 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.38 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 28, 2026 Mocambola
Ferroviario Beira vs Ferroviario Nampula
2:2
Oct 26, 2025 Mocambola
Ferroviario Beira vs Ferroviario Nampula
2:1
Jul 9, 2025 Mocambola
Ferroviario Nampula vs Ferroviario Beira
0:0
Aug 11, 2024 Mocambola
Ferroviario Beira vs Ferroviario Nampula
1:0
Apr 21, 2024 Mocambola
Ferroviario Nampula vs Ferroviario Beira
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ferroviario Beira Compare
Top Goalscorer Valter
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Ferroviario Nampula Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ferroviario Beira 59 / 100
Ferroviario Nampula 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ferroviario Beira Ferroviario Nampula
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Solid form: Ferroviario Beira remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Ferroviario Beira found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (26 games).
Ferroviario Nampula has conceded goals in 68% of their last 25 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Ferroviario Beira VS Ferroviario Nampula
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Ferroviario Beira
(Home) 03 Jul
Ferroviario Beira
2 : 0 Ferroviario Nacala
28 Jun
Ferroviario Beira
2 : 2 Ferroviario Nampula
21 Jun
Ferroviario Maputo
0 : 1 Ferroviario Beira
17 Jun
Associacao Black Bulls
0 : 0 Ferroviario Beira
21 May
Ferroviario Beira
0 : 0 Maxaquene
Page 1 of 6
03 Jul
Ferroviario Beira
2 : 0 Ferroviario Nacala
28 Jun
Ferroviario Beira
2 : 2 Ferroviario Nampula
21 May
Ferroviario Beira
0 : 0 Maxaquene
17 May
Ferroviario Beira
1 : 0 Costa do Sol
14 May
Ferroviario Beira
2 : 1 Chingale de Tete
Page 1 of 4
Ferroviario Nampula
(Away) 02 Jul
Sofala
1 : 3 Ferroviario Nampula
28 Jun
Ferroviario Beira
2 : 2 Ferroviario Nampula
17 Jun
Ferroviario Nampula
2 : 1 Ferroviario Lichinga
19 May
ENH Vilankulo
3 : 0 Ferroviario Nampula
14 May
Ferroviario Nampula
2 : 1 AD Pemba
Page 1 of 5
02 Jul
Sofala
1 : 3 Ferroviario Nampula
28 Jun
Ferroviario Beira
2 : 2 Ferroviario Nampula
19 May
ENH Vilankulo
3 : 0 Ferroviario Nampula
25 Nov
Chingale de Tete
4 : 2 Ferroviario Nampula
26 Oct
Ferroviario Beira
2 : 1 Ferroviario Nampula
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UD Songo | 22 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 50:13 | 57 |
| 2 | Associacao Black Bulls | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 35:26 | 39 |
| 3 | Ferroviario Beira | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 19:13 | 37 |
| 4 | Ferroviario Lichinga | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 38:31 | 34 |
| 5 | Ferroviario Maputo | 23 | 7 | 12 | 4 | 25:18 | 33 |
| 6 | Baia de Pemba | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 24:21 | 32 |
| 7 | ENH Vilankulo | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 22:21 | 31 |
| 8 | Costa do Sol | 23 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 18:18 | 31 |
| 9 | Ferroviario Nacala | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 16:17 | 31 |
| 10 | Chingale de Tete | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 22:21 | 27 |
| 11 | Ferroviario Nampula | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 21:29 | 26 |
| 12 | Textafrica | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 15:30 | 20 |
| 13 | Desportivo de Nacala | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 13:31 | 12 |
| 14 | Desportivo Matola | 22 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 11:40 | 10 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)