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Ferroviario Lichinga vs Baia de Pemba

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Brezzy B
20' Event
Antonio A.
64' Event
Brezzy B

AI Match Summary

Ferroviario Lichinga in this Mocambola 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ferroviario Lichinga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ferroviario Lichinga
33%
Draws
27%
Baia de Pemba
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Ferroviario Lichinga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Baia de Pemba haven't matched Ferroviario Lichinga's recent run of results.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Ferroviario Lichinga taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Ferroviario Lichinga Clean Sheet 20%
Baia de Pemba Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferroviario Lichinga Baia de Pemba
Matches Played 24 24
Wins 11 7
Draws 6 8
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 0.75 0.38
Goals Conceded 0.38 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Mocambola
Ferroviario Lichinga vs Baia de Pemba
1:0
Nov 19, 2025 Mocambola
Ferroviario Lichinga vs Baia de Pemba
3:0
Aug 10, 2025 Mocambola
Baia de Pemba vs Ferroviario Lichinga
2:2
Sep 29, 2024 Mocambola
Ferroviario Lichinga vs Baia de Pemba
1:1
Jun 1, 2024 Mocambola
Baia de Pemba vs Ferroviario Lichinga
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ferroviario Lichinga Compare

Top Goalscorer Brezzy B
2 Goals
Assists Leader Antonio A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Baia de Pemba Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviario Lichinga 40 / 100
Baia de Pemba 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferroviario Lichinga Baia de Pemba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LCH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferroviario Lichinga scored in 79% of their last 24 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Ferroviario Lichinga remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Baia de Pemba has conceded goals in 58% of their last 24 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ferroviario Lichinga VS Baia de Pemba
0.75 Goals Scored 0.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1UD Songo22183150:1357
2Associacao Black Bulls23116635:2639
3Ferroviario Beira23107619:1337
4Ferroviario Lichinga2297638:3134
5Ferroviario Maputo23712425:1833
6Baia de Pemba2295824:2132
7ENH Vilankulo24710722:2131
8Costa do Sol23710618:1831
9Ferroviario Nacala2387816:1731
10Chingale de Tete2269722:2127
11Ferroviario Nampula2268821:2926
12Textafrica23481115:3020
13Desportivo de Nacala20261213:3112
14Desportivo Matola22241611:4010