Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ferroviario Maputo vs AD Pemba

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola
Ferroviario Maputo Logo

Ferroviario Maputo

2 - 0
FT
AD Pemba Logo

AD Pemba

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Mocambola game between Ferroviario Maputo and AD Pemba finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ferroviario Maputo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Ferroviario Maputo
20%
Draws
42%
AD Pemba
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AD Pemba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • AD Pemba haven't matched Ferroviario Maputo's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 20%
Ferroviario Maputo Clean Sheet 68%
AD Pemba Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferroviario Maputo AD Pemba
Matches Played 28 17
Wins 9 5
Draws 7 2
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 0.79 0.53
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Mocambola
Ferroviario Maputo vs AD Pemba
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviario Maputo 41 / 100
AD Pemba 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferroviario Maputo AD Pemba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ferroviario Maputo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Pemba has conceded goals in 71% of their last 17 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Ferroviario Maputo has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Ferroviario Maputo scored in 50% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

Ferroviario Maputo VS AD Pemba
1 Goals Scored 0.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferroviario Maputo

(Home)
15 Sept
Sofala
0 : 2
Ferroviario Maputo
02 Sept
Ferroviario Maputo
0 : 0
UD Songo
30 Aug
Ferroviario Maputo
1 : 0
Chingale de Tete
25 Aug
Maxaquene
2 : 2
Ferroviario Maputo
22 Aug
Ferroviario Maputo
0 : 1
Costa do Sol
Page 1 of 6

AD Pemba

(Away)
16 Sept
ENH Vilankulo
1 : 0
AD Pemba
30 Aug
AD Pemba
0 : 1
Ferroviario Lichinga
26 Aug
AD Pemba
2 : 0
Ferroviario Nampula
21 Aug
AD Pemba
1 : 0
Ferroviario Nacala
18 Aug
AD Pemba
1 : 0
Maxaquene
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Associacao Black Bulls 18 12 5 1 27:9 41
2 Costa do Sol 18 10 4 4 24:11 34
3 Ferroviario Beira 18 9 7 2 23:12 34
4 Ferroviario Lichinga 17 8 4 5 16:13 28
5 Ferroviario Nampula 17 8 4 5 19:21 28
6 UD Songo 17 5 10 2 16:13 25
7 Ferroviario Maputo 18 6 5 7 13:11 23
8 ENH Vilankulo 17 4 8 5 19:16 20
9 Ferroviario Nacala 17 5 5 7 8:12 20
10 Baia de Pemba 17 4 7 6 9:12 19
11 Sofala 18 4 6 8 8:18 18
12 AD Pemba 17 5 2 10 9:19 17
13 Maxaquene 17 1 7 9 8:19 10
14 Chingale de Tete 18 1 6 11 4:17 9
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)