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Ferroviario Maputo vs Chingale de Tete

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Cantolo A.
90' Event
Macamo E.

AI Match Summary

The Mocambola 2025 game between Ferroviario Maputo and Chingale de Tete finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Ferroviario Maputo
20%
Draws
38%
Chingale de Tete
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ferroviario Maputo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ferroviario Maputo come out ahead of Chingale de Tete on wins alone.
  • Ferroviario Maputo are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Ferroviario Maputo Clean Sheet 20%
Chingale de Tete Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferroviario Maputo Chingale de Tete
Matches Played 26 24
Wins 7 3
Draws 10 9
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 0.38 0.13
Goals Conceded 0.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2026 Mocambola
Chingale de Tete vs Ferroviario Maputo
0:0
Dec 3, 2025 Mocambola
Ferroviario Maputo vs Chingale de Tete
1:1
Aug 20, 2025 Mocambola
Chingale de Tete vs Ferroviario Maputo
0:0
Sep 10, 2017 Mocambola
Chingale de Tete vs Ferroviario Maputo
0:1
May 7, 2017 Mocambola
Ferroviario Maputo vs Chingale de Tete
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ferroviario Maputo Compare

Top Goalscorer Macamo E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Chingale de Tete Compare

Top Goalscorer Cantolo A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.12
Avg xA / game 0.07

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviario Maputo 42 / 100
Chingale de Tete 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferroviario Maputo Chingale de Tete

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chingale de Tete's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 24 matches.

Ferroviario Maputo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Ferroviario Maputo found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (26 games).

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Ferroviario Maputo VS Chingale de Tete
0.38 Goals Scored 0.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
25% Over 1.5 25%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1UD Songo22183150:1357
2Associacao Black Bulls23116635:2639
3Ferroviario Beira23107619:1337
4Ferroviario Lichinga2297638:3134
5Ferroviario Maputo23712425:1833
6Baia de Pemba2295824:2132
7ENH Vilankulo24710722:2131
8Costa do Sol23710618:1831
9Ferroviario Nacala2387816:1731
10Chingale de Tete2269722:2127
11Ferroviario Nampula2268821:2926
12Textafrica23481115:3020
13Desportivo de Nacala20261213:3112
14Desportivo Matola22241611:4010