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Ferroviario Maputo vs Desportivo Maputo Prediction & H2H Stats

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ferroviario Maputo in this Mocambola 2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ferroviario Maputo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Ferroviario Maputo
35%
Draws
13%
Desportivo Maputo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ferroviario Maputo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ferroviario Maputo lately — more wins on the board than Desportivo Maputo.
  • Model gives Ferroviario Maputo a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Mocambola 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 9%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
Ferroviario Maputo Clean Sheet 68%
Desportivo Maputo Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferroviario Maputo Desportivo Maputo
Matches Played 42 30
Wins 16 5
Draws 12 9
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 0.95 0.73
Goals Conceded 0.69 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2021 Mocambola
Ferroviario Maputo vs Desportivo Maputo
1:0
Jan 23, 2021 Mocambola
Desportivo Maputo vs Ferroviario Maputo
0:3
Sep 21, 2019 Mocambola
Ferroviario Maputo vs Desportivo Maputo
1:1
May 17, 2019 Mocambola
Desportivo Maputo vs Ferroviario Maputo
0:1
Oct 16, 2016 Mocambola
Ferroviario Maputo vs Desportivo Maputo
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviario Maputo 95 / 100
Desportivo Maputo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferroviario Maputo Desportivo Maputo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ferroviario Maputo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Desportivo Maputo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Ferroviario Maputo has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Desportivo Maputo lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ferroviario Maputo VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
25% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferroviario Maputo

(Home)
15 Sept
Sofala
0 : 2
Ferroviario Maputo
02 Sept
Ferroviario Maputo
0 : 0
UD Songo
30 Aug
Ferroviario Maputo
1 : 0
Chingale de Tete
25 Aug
Maxaquene
2 : 2
Ferroviario Maputo
22 Aug
Ferroviario Maputo
0 : 1
Costa do Sol
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Desportivo Maputo

(Away)
07 Nov
ENH Vilankulo
2 : 1
Desportivo Maputo
30 Oct
Desportivo Maputo
1 : 1
Ferroviario Nampula
23 Oct
Incomati Xinavane
1 : 0
Desportivo Maputo
16 Oct
Desportivo Maputo
0 : 0
Ferroviario Beira
03 Oct
Ferroviario Lichinga
3 : 0
Desportivo Maputo
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