Sport Picks

Mozambique

Mocambola 2018

Ferroviario Nacala

1 - 0

1º de Maio de Quelimane

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Mocambola 2018 game between Ferroviario Nacala and 1º de Maio de Quelimane finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ferroviario Nacala.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Ferroviario Nacala

40%

Draws

29%

1º de Maio de Quelimane

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Ferroviario Nacala carry the better recent record into this one.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
Regular Mocambola 2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60.6%

Ferroviario Nacala Clean Sheet 20%

1º de Maio de Quelimane Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ferroviario Nacala	1º de Maio de Quelimane
Matches Played	43	30
Wins	18	8
Draws	14	8
Losses	11	14
Goals Scored	0.75	0
Goals Conceded	0.63	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2018 Mocambola

Ferroviario Nacala vs 1º de Maio de Quelimane

Possession: 47% - 47% Cards: 2 - 1

1:0

Apr 1, 2018 Mocambola

1º de Maio de Quelimane vs Ferroviario Nacala

Possession: 49% - 45% Cards: 0 - 3

1:0

Jun 25, 2017 Mocambola

1º de Maio de Quelimane vs Ferroviario Nacala

Possession: 46% - 56% Cards: 2 - 1

0:1

Mar 19, 2017 Mocambola

Ferroviario Nacala vs 1º de Maio de Quelimane

Possession: 54% - 47% Cards: 0 - 2

0:0

Aug 20, 2016 Mocambola

Ferroviario Nacala vs 1º de Maio de Quelimane

Possession: 56% - 42% Cards: 4 - 2

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviario Nacala 32 / 100

1º de Maio de Quelimane 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ferroviario Nacala 1º de Maio de Quelimane

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

1º de Maio de Quelimane let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Ferroviario Nacala has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Ferroviario Nacala found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (43 games).

H2H data points to 0.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Ferroviario Nacala VS -

0.75 Goals Scored 0

0.63 Goals Conceded 0

25% Over 1.5 0%

25% Over 2.5 0%

0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	UD Songo	30	17	7	6	38:26	58
2	Ferroviario Maputo	30	17	3	10	30:23	54
3	Liga Desportivo Maputo	30	15	6	9	37:25	51
4	Ferroviario Nampula	30	13	8	9	46:34	47
5	Maxaquene	30	11	11	8	34:28	44
6	Chibuto	30	11	10	9	39:24	43
7	Textafrica	30	11	9	10	26:34	42
8	Costa do Sol	30	9	13	8	24:17	40
9	Ferroviario Beira	30	10	9	11	37:28	39
10	Desportivo de Nacala	30	10	8	12	24:23	38
11	ENH Vilankulo	30	10	8	12	21:26	38
12	Incomati Xinavane	30	8	11	11	19:21	35
13	Ferroviario Nacala	30	8	11	11	18:26	35
14	UP de Manica	30	8	10	12	24:34	34
15	1º de Maio de Quelimane	30	8	8	14	24:36	32
16	Sporting Nampula	30	4	8	18	19:55	20