Sport Picks
Ferroviario Nacala vs Chingale de Tete - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mozambique
Mocambola 
AI Match Summary
The Mocambola game between Ferroviario Nacala and Chingale de Tete finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chingale de Tete.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
49%
15%
36%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ferroviario Nacala
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Ferroviario Nacala come out ahead of Chingale de Tete on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Mocambola form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%
Ferroviario Nacala Clean Sheet 20%
Chingale de Tete Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ferroviario Nacala | Chingale de Tete |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 27 |
| Wins | 11 | 4 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.59 | 0.56 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.63 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 1, 2026 Mocambola
Ferroviario Nacala vs Chingale de Tete
0:1
Nov 30, 2025 Mocambola
Ferroviario Nacala vs Chingale de Tete
1:0
Aug 12, 2025 Mocambola
Chingale de Tete vs Ferroviario Nacala
1:0
Jul 30, 2017 Mocambola
Chingale de Tete vs Ferroviario Nacala
1:0
Apr 16, 2017 Mocambola
Ferroviario Nacala vs Chingale de Tete
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ferroviario Nacala 31 / 100
Chingale de Tete 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ferroviario Nacala Chingale de Tete
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ferroviario Nacala Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chingale de Tete has conceded goals in 67% of their last 27 outings.
Away concern: Chingale de Tete has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Ferroviario Nacala found the back of the net in 44% of recent matches (27 games).
Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Ferroviario Nacala VS Chingale de Tete
0.25 Goals Scored 0.38
1 Goals Conceded 1
13% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Ferroviario Nacala
(Home) 16 Sept
Ferroviario Lichinga
0 : 0 Ferroviario Nacala
02 Sept
Ferroviario Nacala
1 : 0 ENH Vilankulo
25 Aug
Baia de Pemba
1 : 0 Ferroviario Nacala
21 Aug
AD Pemba
1 : 0 Ferroviario Nacala
17 Aug
Ferroviario Nacala
0 : 1 Associacao Black Bulls
Page 1 of 6
02 Sept
Ferroviario Nacala
1 : 0 ENH Vilankulo
17 Aug
Ferroviario Nacala
0 : 1 Associacao Black Bulls
14 Aug
Ferroviario Nacala
1 : 0 Ferroviario Maputo
01 Aug
Ferroviario Nacala
0 : 1 Chingale de Tete
27 Jul
Ferroviario Nacala
0 : 0 UD Songo
Page 1 of 3
Chingale de Tete
(Away) 09 Oct
AD Pemba
1 : 0 Chingale de Tete
19 Sept
Chingale de Tete
1 : 0 Maxaquene
16 Sept
Chingale de Tete
0 : 1 Costa do Sol
02 Sept
Associacao Black Bulls
2 : 1 Chingale de Tete
30 Aug
Ferroviario Maputo
1 : 0 Chingale de Tete
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
AD Pemba
1 : 0 Chingale de Tete
02 Sept
Associacao Black Bulls
2 : 1 Chingale de Tete
30 Aug
Ferroviario Maputo
1 : 0 Chingale de Tete
10 Aug
Ferroviario Lichinga
1 : 0 Chingale de Tete
04 Aug
Ferroviario Nampula
2 : 0 Chingale de Tete
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Associacao Black Bulls | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 28:9 | 44 |
| 2 | Costa do Sol | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 28:12 | 40 |
| 3 | Ferroviario Beira | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 23:13 | 34 |
| 4 | Ferroviario Maputo | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 15:11 | 29 |
| 5 | UD Songo | 19 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 21:15 | 28 |
| 6 | Ferroviario Lichinga | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 16:15 | 28 |
| 7 | Ferroviario Nampula | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 19:21 | 28 |
| 8 | ENH Vilankulo | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 19:17 | 20 |
| 9 | Ferroviario Nacala | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 8:12 | 20 |
| 10 | AD Pemba | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 10:19 | 20 |
| 11 | Baia de Pemba | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 9:12 | 19 |
| 12 | Sofala | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 8:19 | 18 |
| 13 | Chingale de Tete | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 5:18 | 12 |
| 14 | Maxaquene | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 8:24 | 10 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
