Sport Picks
Ferroviario Nampula vs Ferroviario Beira - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mozambique
Mocambola 
AI Match Summary
Ferroviario Nampula in this Mocambola matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ferroviario Nampula.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ferroviario Nampula
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Ferroviario Nampula average 1.11 goals a game right now, well clear of Ferroviario Beira's 1.07.
- Model gives Ferroviario Nampula a 46% chance of winning this.
- Regular Mocambola form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Ferroviario Nampula Clean Sheet 20%
Ferroviario Beira Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ferroviario Nampula | Ferroviario Beira |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 27 |
| Wins | 12 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.11 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.15 | 0.78 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 10, 2026 Mocambola
Ferroviario Nampula vs Ferroviario Beira
2:0
Jun 28, 2026 Mocambola
Ferroviario Beira vs Ferroviario Nampula
2:2
Oct 26, 2025 Mocambola
Ferroviario Beira vs Ferroviario Nampula
2:1
Jul 9, 2025 Mocambola
Ferroviario Nampula vs Ferroviario Beira
0:0
Aug 11, 2024 Mocambola
Ferroviario Beira vs Ferroviario Nampula
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ferroviario Nampula 40 / 100
Ferroviario Beira 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ferroviario Nampula Ferroviario Beira
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ferroviario Nampula Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ferroviario Nampula found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (27 games).
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Ferroviario Nampula went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Difficult form: Ferroviario Beira registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ferroviario Nampula VS Ferroviario Beira
1 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Ferroviario Nampula
(Home) 10 Oct
Ferroviario Nampula
2 : 0 Ferroviario Beira
13 Sept
Ferroviario Lichinga
3 : 0 Ferroviario Nampula
30 Aug
Ferroviario Nampula
2 : 1 ENH Vilankulo
26 Aug
AD Pemba
2 : 0 Ferroviario Nampula
22 Aug
Baia de Pemba
0 : 0 Ferroviario Nampula
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Ferroviario Nampula
2 : 0 Ferroviario Beira
30 Aug
Ferroviario Nampula
2 : 1 ENH Vilankulo
18 Aug
Ferroviario Nampula
2 : 1 Ferroviario Maputo
14 Aug
Ferroviario Nampula
1 : 3 Associacao Black Bulls
04 Aug
Ferroviario Nampula
2 : 0 Chingale de Tete
Page 1 of 3
Ferroviario Beira
(Away) 10 Oct
Ferroviario Nampula
2 : 0 Ferroviario Beira
19 Sept
Ferroviario Beira
0 : 1 Ferroviario Maputo
16 Sept
Ferroviario Beira
0 : 2 Associacao Black Bulls
03 Sept
Maxaquene
1 : 2 Ferroviario Beira
30 Aug
Costa do Sol
1 : 2 Ferroviario Beira
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Ferroviario Nampula
2 : 0 Ferroviario Beira
03 Sept
Maxaquene
1 : 2 Ferroviario Beira
30 Aug
Costa do Sol
1 : 2 Ferroviario Beira
23 Aug
Chingale de Tete
1 : 1 Ferroviario Beira
20 Aug
UD Songo
0 : 0 Ferroviario Beira
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Associacao Black Bulls | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 28:9 | 44 |
| 2 | Costa do Sol | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 28:12 | 40 |
| 3 | Ferroviario Beira | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 23:15 | 34 |
| 4 | Ferroviario Nampula | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 21:21 | 31 |
| 5 | Ferroviario Maputo | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 15:11 | 29 |
| 6 | UD Songo | 20 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 21:16 | 28 |
| 7 | Ferroviario Lichinga | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 16:15 | 28 |
| 8 | Ferroviario Nacala | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 11:14 | 23 |
| 9 | Baia de Pemba | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 10:12 | 22 |
| 10 | ENH Vilankulo | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 19:17 | 20 |
| 11 | AD Pemba | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 10:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Sofala | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 10:22 | 18 |
| 13 | Chingale de Tete | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 5:18 | 12 |
| 14 | Maxaquene | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 8:24 | 10 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
