Sport Picks
Ferroviario Nampula vs Ferroviario Lichinga
Mozambique
Mocambola 
AI Match Summary
The Mocambola game between Ferroviario Nampula and Ferroviario Lichinga finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ferroviario Nampula.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
20%
47%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ferroviario Lichinga
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Ferroviario Nampula carry the better recent record into this one.
- Ferroviario Lichinga are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Ferroviario Nampula Clean Sheet 20%
Ferroviario Lichinga Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ferroviario Nampula | Ferroviario Lichinga |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 26 |
| Wins | 12 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.11 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.19 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 Mocambola
Ferroviario Lichinga vs Ferroviario Nampula
3:0
Jun 17, 2026 Mocambola
Ferroviario Nampula vs Ferroviario Lichinga
2:1
Dec 28, 2025 Mocambola
Ferroviario Nampula vs Ferroviario Lichinga
0:0
Sep 3, 2025 Mocambola
Ferroviario Lichinga vs Ferroviario Nampula
3:0
Oct 7, 2024 Mocambola
Ferroviario Nampula vs Ferroviario Lichinga
2:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ferroviario Nampula 24 / 100
Ferroviario Lichinga 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ferroviario Nampula Ferroviario Lichinga
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ferroviario Lichinga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ferroviario Nampula scored in 67% of their last 27 games.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Ferroviario Nampula remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Ferroviario Lichinga has conceded goals in 58% of their last 26 outings.
Scoring Trends
Ferroviario Nampula VS Ferroviario Lichinga
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Ferroviario Nampula
(Home) 13 Sept
Ferroviario Lichinga
3 : 0 Ferroviario Nampula
30 Aug
Ferroviario Nampula
2 : 1 ENH Vilankulo
26 Aug
AD Pemba
2 : 0 Ferroviario Nampula
22 Aug
Baia de Pemba
0 : 0 Ferroviario Nampula
18 Aug
Ferroviario Nampula
2 : 1 Ferroviario Maputo
Page 1 of 6
30 Aug
Ferroviario Nampula
2 : 1 ENH Vilankulo
18 Aug
Ferroviario Nampula
2 : 1 Ferroviario Maputo
14 Aug
Ferroviario Nampula
1 : 3 Associacao Black Bulls
04 Aug
Ferroviario Nampula
2 : 0 Chingale de Tete
24 Jul
Ferroviario Nampula
0 : 0 UD Songo
Page 1 of 3
Ferroviario Lichinga
(Away) 16 Sept
Ferroviario Lichinga
0 : 0 Ferroviario Nacala
13 Sept
Ferroviario Lichinga
3 : 0 Ferroviario Nampula
02 Sept
Baia de Pemba
2 : 1 Ferroviario Lichinga
30 Aug
AD Pemba
0 : 1 Ferroviario Lichinga
17 Aug
Sofala
0 : 1 Ferroviario Lichinga
Page 1 of 6
02 Sept
Baia de Pemba
2 : 1 Ferroviario Lichinga
30 Aug
AD Pemba
0 : 1 Ferroviario Lichinga
17 Aug
Sofala
0 : 1 Ferroviario Lichinga
14 Aug
Ferroviario Beira
3 : 0 Ferroviario Lichinga
27 Jul
Ferroviario Maputo
2 : 0 Ferroviario Lichinga
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Associacao Black Bulls | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 28:9 | 44 |
| 2 | Costa do Sol | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 24:11 | 34 |
| 3 | Ferroviario Beira | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 23:12 | 34 |
| 4 | UD Songo | 18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 20:13 | 28 |
| 5 | Ferroviario Lichinga | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 16:13 | 28 |
| 6 | Ferroviario Nampula | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 19:21 | 28 |
| 7 | Ferroviario Maputo | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 13:11 | 23 |
| 8 | ENH Vilankulo | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 19:16 | 20 |
| 9 | Ferroviario Nacala | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 8:12 | 20 |
| 10 | Baia de Pemba | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 9:12 | 19 |
| 11 | Sofala | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 8:19 | 18 |
| 12 | AD Pemba | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 9:19 | 17 |
| 13 | Maxaquene | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 8:23 | 10 |
| 14 | Chingale de Tete | 18 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 4:17 | 9 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
