Sport Picks
Ferroviario Nampula vs Ferroviario Lichinga
Mozambique
Mocambola 
AI Match Summary
Ferroviario Nampula play Ferroviario Lichinga in the Mocambola. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ferroviario Nampula averaged 1.08 goals scored and 1.35 conceded. Ferroviario Lichinga averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. In past meetings, Ferroviario Nampula won 1, Ferroviario Lichinga won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jun 17, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.69 for Ferroviario Nampula and 1.00 for Ferroviario Lichinga. This points to a Ferroviario Lichinga double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Ferroviario Nampula picked up more points recently compared to Ferroviario Lichinga.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.69 vs 1.00 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ferroviario Nampula | Ferroviario Lichinga |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 24 |
| Wins | 9 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.08 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.35 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 0.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ferroviario Nampula scored in 65% of their last 26 games.
Ferroviario Lichinga let in goals in 58% of their last 24 matches.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Ferroviario Nampula went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Ferroviario Lichinga lost 1 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferroviario Beira | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 11:3 | 19 |
| 2 | UD Songo | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 12:8 | 16 |
| 3 | Associacao Black Bulls | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 10:3 | 14 |
| 4 | Ferroviario Lichinga | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 14 |
| 5 | Ferroviario Nampula | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:11 | 13 |
| 6 | Costa do Sol | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 12 |
| 7 | Ferroviario Nacala | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6:4 | 12 |
| 8 | Sofala | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 5:10 | 10 |
| 9 | ENH Vilankulo | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 8:6 | 8 |
| 10 | Ferroviario Maputo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3:5 | 8 |
| 11 | AD Pemba | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4:9 | 7 |
| 12 | Chingale de Tete | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 1:8 | 4 |
| 13 | Baia de Pemba | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 14 | Maxaquene | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3:10 | 3 |