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Ferroviario Nampula vs Liga Desportivo Maputo

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ferroviario Nampula in this Mocambola 2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ferroviario Nampula.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Ferroviario Nampula
39%
Draws
31%
Liga Desportivo Maputo
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Ferroviario Nampula have won more games recently than Liga Desportivo Maputo.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Mocambola 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Ferroviario Nampula Clean Sheet 20%
Liga Desportivo Maputo Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferroviario Nampula Liga Desportivo Maputo
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 5
Draws 9 10
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1 0
Goals Conceded 1.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 3, 2022 Mocambola
Liga Desportivo Maputo vs Ferroviario Nampula
0:3
Sep 17, 2022 Mocambola
Ferroviario Nampula vs Liga Desportivo Maputo
2:0
Sep 19, 2021 Mocambola
Ferroviario Nampula vs Liga Desportivo Maputo
0:0
May 23, 2021 Mocambola
Liga Desportivo Maputo vs Ferroviario Nampula
3:0
Oct 5, 2019 Mocambola
Liga Desportivo Maputo vs Ferroviario Nampula
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviario Nampula 31 / 100
Liga Desportivo Maputo 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferroviario Nampula Liga Desportivo Maputo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferroviario Nampula found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

Liga Desportivo Maputo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Ferroviario Nampula remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ferroviario Nampula VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%