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Ferroviario Nampula vs Matchedje Mocuba

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Mocambola 2022 game between Ferroviario Nampula and Matchedje Mocuba finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ferroviario Nampula.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ferroviario Nampula
33%
Draws
27%
Matchedje Mocuba
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Ferroviario Nampula

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Matchedje Mocuba haven't matched Ferroviario Nampula's recent run of results.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Ferroviario Nampula taking it.
  • Regular Mocambola 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ferroviario Nampula have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Ferroviario Nampula Clean Sheet 20%
Matchedje Mocuba Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferroviario Nampula Matchedje Mocuba
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 7 8
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1 0
Goals Conceded 1.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2022 Mocambola
Matchedje Mocuba vs Ferroviario Nampula
1:0
May 22, 2022 Mocambola
Ferroviario Nampula vs Matchedje Mocuba
1:0
Oct 3, 2021 Mocambola
Ferroviario Nampula vs Matchedje Mocuba
1:0
Jun 13, 2021 Mocambola
Matchedje Mocuba vs Ferroviario Nampula
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviario Nampula 40 / 100
Matchedje Mocuba 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferroviario Nampula Matchedje Mocuba

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferroviario Nampula's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Matchedje Mocuba conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Ferroviario Nampula stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Matchedje Mocuba has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ferroviario Nampula VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%