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Ferroviario U20 vs EC de Patos U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Copa do Brasil U20
Ferroviario U20 Logo

Ferroviario U20

1 - 0
FT
EC de Patos U20 Logo

EC de Patos U20

Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Yarley
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Ferroviario U20
15%
Draws
12%
EC de Patos U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ferroviario U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Ferroviario U20 have won more games recently than EC de Patos U20.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Ferroviario U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ferroviario U20, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Ferroviario U20 Clean Sheet 20%
EC de Patos U20 Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferroviario U20 EC de Patos U20
Matches Played 30 20
Wins 12 9
Draws 7 4
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.07 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2026 Copa do Brasil U20
Ferroviario U20 vs EC de Patos U20
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ferroviario U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Yarley
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

EC de Patos U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviario U20 31 / 100
EC de Patos U20 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferroviario U20 EC de Patos U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ferroviario U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferroviario U20's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: EC de Patos U20 conceded in 65% of 20 recent games.

EC de Patos U20 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Ferroviario U20 VS EC de Patos U20
0.5 Goals Scored 0.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferroviario U20

(Home)
07 Oct
Ceara U20
1 : 0
Ferroviario U20
10 Sept
Ferroviario U20
1 : 0
EC de Patos U20
01 Aug
Fortaleza U20
3 : 0
Ferroviario U20
25 Jul
Ferroviario U20
0 : 1
Fortaleza U20
18 Jul
Horizonte U20
0 : 1
Ferroviario U20
Page 1 of 6

EC de Patos U20

(Away)
10 Sept
Ferroviario U20
1 : 0
EC de Patos U20
09 Jan
Barra FC U20
2 : 1
EC de Patos U20
06 Jan
EC de Patos U20
0 : 1
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20
03 Jan
Francana U20
1 : 0
EC de Patos U20
10 Aug
Confianca PB U20
1 : 1
EC de Patos U20
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Amazonas U20 1
Monte Roraima U20 0
Galvez U20 0
Santa Cruz AC U20 5
Sao Raimundo RR U20 7
Genus U20 3
Nacional-AM (Manaus) U20 1
Uniao Cacoalense U20 0
Paysandu PA U20 5
Macapa U20 0
Independente AP U20 2
Sao Luis MA U20 0
Tuna Luso U20 3
Batalhao U20 0
Uniao Carmolandense U20 2
Miranda do Norte U20 1
Fortaleza U20 1
Piaui U20 2
America RN U20 3
QFC U20 2
Ceara U20 2
Atletico-PI U20 1
Ferroviario U20 1
EC de Patos U20 0
CSA U20 4
Confianca PB U20 0
Santa Cruz U20 3
Clube Sociedade Esportiva U20 0
Nautico U20 3
America PE U20 1
Sergipe U20 1
Falcon U20 0
Flamengo RJ U20 6
Forte U20 0
Vasco U20 11
Rio Branco ES U20 0
Botafogo RJ U20 4
Estrela De Marco U20 0
Bahia U20 16
Alagoinhas U20 0
Atletico-MG U20 4
Sobradinho U20 0
Athletic Club U20 2
Real Brasilia U20 1
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 3
Guanabara City U20 1
Goias U20 4
Trindade U20 2
Palmeiras U20 10
Naviraiense U20 0
Santos U20 2
Cuiaba U20 1
Sao Paulo U20 13
Gremio Santo Antonio U20 1
Athletico-PR U20 5
Luverdense U20 2
Gremio U20 5
Real SC U20 0
Operario PR U20 3
Chapecoense-SC U20 2
Internacional U20 0
Barra FC U20 1
Criciuma U20 3
FC Cascavel U20 1
1/16-finals
Amazonas U20 4
Santa Cruz AC U20 1
Sao Raimundo RR U20 4
Nacional-AM (Manaus) U20 3
Paysandu PA U20 6
Independente AP U20 0
Tuna Luso U20 1
Uniao Carmolandense U20 2
Piaui U20 2
America RN U20 3
Ceara U20 1
Ferroviario U20 0
CSA U20 0
Santa Cruz U20 1
Nautico U20 6
Sergipe U20 2
Flamengo RJ U20 3
Vasco U20 2
Botafogo RJ U20 1
Bahia U20 0
Atletico-MG U20 2
Athletic Club U20 1
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 1
Goias U20 2
Palmeiras U20 4
Santos U20 3
Sao Paulo U20 3
Athletico-PR U20 1
Gremio U20 1
Operario PR U20 3
Barra FC U20 0
Criciuma U20 3
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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