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Ferroviario U20 vs Floresta EC U20 Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Cearense U20 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Honorato I.
71' Event
Natanael
72'
Silvano Verissimo S.

AI Match Summary

Ferroviario U20 in this Cearense U20 2025 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Ferroviario U20
15%
Draws
49%
Floresta EC U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Floresta EC U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Floresta EC U20 lately — more wins on the board than Ferroviario U20.
  • 49% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Floresta EC U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ferroviario U20, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Ferroviario U20 Clean Sheet 23%
Floresta EC U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferroviario U20 Floresta EC U20
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 15
Draws 7 5
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.3 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2025 Cearense U20
Floresta EC U20 vs Ferroviario U20
3:3
Sep 13, 2025 Cearense U20
Ferroviario U20 vs Floresta EC U20
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ferroviario U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Honorato I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Natanael
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Floresta EC U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Moraes T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviario U20 33 / 100
Floresta EC U20 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferroviario U20 Floresta EC U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Floresta EC U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Ferroviario U20 found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Ferroviario U20 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Floresta EC U20 has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ferroviario U20 VS Floresta EC U20
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
38% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferroviario U20

(Home)
10 Sept
Ferroviario U20
1 : 0
EC de Patos U20
01 Aug
Fortaleza U20
3 : 0
Ferroviario U20
25 Jul
Ferroviario U20
0 : 1
Fortaleza U20
18 Jul
Horizonte U20
0 : 1
Ferroviario U20
20 Jun
Ferroviario U20
1 : 0
Anjos do Ceu U20
Page 1 of 6

Floresta EC U20

(Away)
01 Aug
Floresta EC U20
0 : 2
Quixada U20
26 Jul
Quixada U20
0 : 1
Floresta EC U20
18 Jul
Floresta EC U20
1 : 0
Caucaia U20
10 Jul
Floresta EC U20
2 : 1
Horizonte U20
04 Jul
Anjos do Ceu U20
0 : 1
Floresta EC U20
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Ceara U20 3
Caucaia U20 2
Floresta EC U20 4
Ferroviario U20 5
Fortaleza U20 2
Atletico Cearense U20 1
Quixada U20 4
Tirol U20 3
Semi-finals
Ceara U20 1
Ferroviario U20 3
Fortaleza U20 7
Quixada U20 1
Final
Ferroviario U20 1
Fortaleza U20 6