Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Feyenoord vs Aston Villa

Europe Europe

Europa League 2025/2026 De Kuip, Rotterdam
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Ahmedhodzic A.
46'
Sub
Hwang In-Beom In: Targhalline O.
Out: Hwang In-Beom
49'
Steijn S.

AI Match Summary

The Europa League 2025/2026 game between Feyenoord and Aston Villa finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aston Villa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Feyenoord
15%
Draws
24%
Aston Villa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Feyenoord

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Feyenoord carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Feyenoord are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Europa League 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Feyenoord Clean Sheet 12%
Aston Villa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Feyenoord Aston Villa
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 14
Draws 7 3
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.9 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2025 Europa League
Feyenoord vs Aston Villa
0:2
Jul 31, 2010 Guadiana Cup
Aston Villa vs Feyenoord
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Feyenoord Compare

Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Aston Villa Compare

Top Goalscorer Buendia E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader McGinn J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Feyenoord 83 / 100
Aston Villa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Feyenoord Aston Villa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FEY Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Feyenoord scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Feyenoord has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Aston Villa let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Feyenoord VS Aston Villa
2.5 Goals Scored 2.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Feyenoord

(Home)
09 Aug
Sparta Rotterdam
0 : 1
Feyenoord
02 Aug
Feyenoord
2 : 1
Atalanta
26 Jul
Feyenoord
2 : 1
Rayo Vallecano
17 Jul
Feyenoord
3 : 1
Charleroi
11 Jul
Feyenoord
3 : 1
Club Brugge
Page 1 of 6

Aston Villa

(Away)
12 Aug
PSG
2 : 1
Aston Villa
07 Aug
Bayern Munich
2 : 1
Aston Villa
04 Aug
Pathum United
1 : 3
Aston Villa
01 Aug
Liga 1 All-Stars
1 : 3
Aston Villa
28 Jul
Aston Villa
2 : 4
Real Sociedad
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lyon 8 7 0 1 18:5 21
2 Aston Villa 8 7 0 1 14:6 21
3 Midtjylland 8 6 1 1 18:8 19
4 Betis 8 5 2 1 13:7 17
5 FC Porto 8 5 2 1 13:7 17
6 Braga 8 5 2 1 11:5 17
7 Freiburg 8 5 2 1 10:4 17
8 AS Roma 8 5 1 2 13:6 16
9 Genk 8 5 1 2 11:7 16
10 Bologna 8 4 3 1 14:7 15
11 VfB Stuttgart 8 5 0 3 15:9 15
12 Ferencvaros 8 4 3 1 12:11 15
13 Nottingham 8 4 2 2 15:7 14
14 Plzen 8 3 5 0 8:3 14
15 Crvena zvezda 8 4 2 2 7:6 14
16 Celta Vigo 8 4 1 3 15:11 13
17 PAOK 8 3 3 2 17:14 12
18 Lille 8 4 0 4 12:9 12
19 Fenerbahce 8 3 3 2 10:7 12
20 Panathinaikos 8 3 3 2 11:9 12
21 Celtic 8 3 2 3 13:15 11
22 Ludogorets 8 3 1 4 12:15 10
23 Din. Zagreb 8 3 1 4 12:16 10
24 Brann 8 2 3 3 9:11 9
25 Young Boys 8 3 0 5 10:16 9
26 Sturm Graz 8 2 1 5 5:11 7
27 FCSB 8 2 1 5 9:16 7
28 G.A. Eagles 8 2 1 5 6:14 7
29 Feyenoord 8 2 0 6 11:15 6
30 Basel 8 2 0 6 9:13 6
31 Salzburg 8 2 0 6 10:15 6
32 Rangers 8 1 1 6 5:14 4
33 Nice 8 1 0 7 7:15 3
34 Utrecht 8 0 1 7 5:15 1
35 Malmo FF 8 0 1 7 4:15 1
36 Maccabi Tel Aviv 8 0 1 7 2:22 1
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)