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Feyenoord vs Rayo Vallecano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
van Persie S.
41' Event
Garcia A.
99' Event
van den Elshout T.

AI Match Summary

Feyenoord in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Feyenoord.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Feyenoord
20%
Draws
33%
Rayo Vallecano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Feyenoord

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Feyenoord lately — more wins on the board than Rayo Vallecano.
  • Win probability leans Feyenoord's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Feyenoord Clean Sheet 16%
Rayo Vallecano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Feyenoord Rayo Vallecano
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 17 12
Draws 7 6
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 2.21 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Club Friendly
Feyenoord vs Rayo Vallecano
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Feyenoord Compare

Top Goalscorer van Persie S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader van den Elshout T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Rayo Vallecano Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Feyenoord 84 / 100
Rayo Vallecano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Feyenoord Rayo Vallecano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Feyenoord Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Feyenoord's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Rayo Vallecano has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Feyenoord stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Feyenoord VS Rayo Vallecano
2.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Feyenoord

(Home)
20 Sept
Feyenoord
5 : 0
Utrecht
13 Sept
Zwolle
0 : 7
Feyenoord
09 Sept
Barcelona
5 : 1
Feyenoord
05 Sept
Nijmegen
1 : 3
Feyenoord
30 Aug
Feyenoord
2 : 2
Den Haag
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Rayo Vallecano

(Away)
19 Sept
Osasuna
1 : 1
Rayo Vallecano
15 Sept
Rayo Vallecano
2 : 1
Espanyol
12 Sept
Real Madrid
4 : 1
Rayo Vallecano
05 Sept
Rayo Vallecano
3 : 2
Racing Santander
31 Aug
Barcelona
5 : 2
Rayo Vallecano
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