Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Feyenoord vs Sturm Graz

Europe Europe

Europa League 2025/2026 De Kuip, Rotterdam
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Watanabe T.
Assist: Hadj Moussa A.
30'
Hadj Moussa A.
37'
Hwang In-Beom

AI Match Summary

Feyenoord in this Europa League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Feyenoord.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Feyenoord
15%
Draws
34%
Sturm Graz
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Feyenoord

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Sturm Graz at 1.93 per game, Feyenoord at 1.9.
  • Model gives Feyenoord a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 53%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Feyenoord Clean Sheet 12%
Sturm Graz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Feyenoord Sturm Graz
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 15
Draws 7 10
Losses 7 4
Goals Scored 1.9 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.34 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.84 1.72
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 22, 2026 Europa League
Feyenoord vs Sturm Graz
3:0
Oct 27, 2022 Europa League
Sturm Graz vs Feyenoord
1:0
Sep 15, 2022 Europa League
Feyenoord vs Sturm Graz
6:0
Aug 23, 2000 Champions League
Feyenoord vs Sturm Graz
1:1
Aug 8, 2000 Champions League
Sturm Graz vs Feyenoord
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Feyenoord Compare

Top Goalscorer Watanabe T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hadj Moussa A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.92

Sturm Graz Compare

Avg xG / game 1.56
Avg xA / game 0.96

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Feyenoord 65 / 100
Sturm Graz 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Feyenoord Sturm Graz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FEY Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Feyenoord's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Feyenoord has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Sturm Graz conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Feyenoord VS Sturm Graz
2.43 Goals Scored 2.88
0.57 Goals Conceded 1.25
71% Over 1.5 88%
71% Over 2.5 75%
43% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Feyenoord

(Home)
09 Aug
Sparta Rotterdam
0 : 1
Feyenoord
02 Aug
Feyenoord
2 : 1
Atalanta
26 Jul
Feyenoord
2 : 1
Rayo Vallecano
17 Jul
Feyenoord
3 : 1
Charleroi
11 Jul
Feyenoord
3 : 1
Club Brugge
Page 1 of 6

Sturm Graz

(Away)
08 Aug
Hartberg
0 : 2
Sturm Graz
05 Aug
Fenerbahce
2 : 0
Sturm Graz
01 Aug
Tirol
1 : 1
Sturm Graz
28 Jul
Hearts
0 : 2
Sturm Graz
24 Jul
Seekirchen
0 : 3
Sturm Graz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lyon 8 7 0 1 18:5 21
2 Aston Villa 8 7 0 1 14:6 21
3 Midtjylland 8 6 1 1 18:8 19
4 Betis 8 5 2 1 13:7 17
5 FC Porto 8 5 2 1 13:7 17
6 Braga 8 5 2 1 11:5 17
7 Freiburg 8 5 2 1 10:4 17
8 AS Roma 8 5 1 2 13:6 16
9 Genk 8 5 1 2 11:7 16
10 Bologna 8 4 3 1 14:7 15
11 VfB Stuttgart 8 5 0 3 15:9 15
12 Ferencvaros 8 4 3 1 12:11 15
13 Nottingham 8 4 2 2 15:7 14
14 Plzen 8 3 5 0 8:3 14
15 Crvena zvezda 8 4 2 2 7:6 14
16 Celta Vigo 8 4 1 3 15:11 13
17 PAOK 8 3 3 2 17:14 12
18 Lille 8 4 0 4 12:9 12
19 Fenerbahce 8 3 3 2 10:7 12
20 Panathinaikos 8 3 3 2 11:9 12
21 Celtic 8 3 2 3 13:15 11
22 Ludogorets 8 3 1 4 12:15 10
23 Din. Zagreb 8 3 1 4 12:16 10
24 Brann 8 2 3 3 9:11 9
25 Young Boys 8 3 0 5 10:16 9
26 Sturm Graz 8 2 1 5 5:11 7
27 FCSB 8 2 1 5 9:16 7
28 G.A. Eagles 8 2 1 5 6:14 7
29 Feyenoord 8 2 0 6 11:15 6
30 Basel 8 2 0 6 9:13 6
31 Salzburg 8 2 0 6 10:15 6
32 Rangers 8 1 1 6 5:14 4
33 Nice 8 1 0 7 7:15 3
34 Utrecht 8 0 1 7 5:15 1
35 Malmo FF 8 0 1 7 4:15 1
36 Maccabi Tel Aviv 8 0 1 7 2:22 1
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)