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Fezzanese vs Valenzana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
West R.
45' Event
Scarlino L.
49' Event
Maccioni M.

AI Match Summary

Valenzana in this Serie D - Group A matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Valenzana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Fezzanese
15%
Draws
46%
Valenzana
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Valenzana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Valenzana have won more games recently than Fezzanese.
  • Model gives Fezzanese a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Fezzanese Clean Sheet 20%
Valenzana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fezzanese Valenzana
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 10
Draws 8 6
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.17 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Fezzanese vs Valenzana
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fezzanese Compare

Top Goalscorer Scarlino L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Valenzana Compare

Top Goalscorer West R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Maccioni M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fezzanese 42 / 100
Valenzana 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fezzanese Valenzana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Fezzanese scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Valenzana conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Fezzanese stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fezzanese VS Valenzana
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fezzanese

(Home)
04 Oct
Fezzanese
1 : 2
Valenzana
27 Sept
Imperia Calcio
2 : 0
Fezzanese
21 Sept
Fezzanese
0 : 2
Gozzano
16 Sept
Sestri Levante
0 : 3
Fezzanese
13 Sept
Fezzanese
2 : 0
Chisola
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Valenzana

(Away)
07 Oct
Valenzana
3 : 2
Saluzzo
04 Oct
Fezzanese
1 : 2
Valenzana
27 Sept
Valenzana
1 : 2
Borgosesia Calcio
20 Sept
Asti Calcio
2 : 2
Valenzana
16 Sept
Valenzana
0 : 1
GSD Lascaris
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alessandria 6 5 0 1 12:8 15
2 AS Biellese 6 4 2 0 12:5 14
3 Derthona FbC 6 3 2 1 7:6 11
4 Ligorna 6 3 1 2 11:10 10
5 Asti Calcio 6 3 1 2 8:7 10
6 Gozzano 6 3 1 2 8:7 10
7 Saluzzo 6 2 3 1 9:6 9
8 Millesimo 6 3 0 3 8:6 9
9 Chisola 6 2 2 2 9:7 8
10 Imperia Calcio 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
11 GSD Lascaris 6 2 2 2 4:7 8
12 Sanremese 6 2 2 2 9:7 8
13 Fezzanese 6 2 1 3 7:7 7
14 Sestri Levante 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
15 Borgosesia Calcio 6 1 3 2 5:7 6
16 Bra 6 1 2 3 4:7 5
17 Valenzana 6 1 1 4 7:10 4
18 Celle Varazze 6 0 0 6 1:13 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A (Play Out)