Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Varzim in this Taça de Portugal 2010/2011 tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
15%
65%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Varzim
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Varzim have won more games recently than Fiaes.
- Varzim are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Varzim arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Varzim, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Fiaes Clean Sheet 20%
Varzim Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fiaes | Varzim |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 13 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 13 |
| Draws | 0 | 6 |
| Losses | 7 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.15 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 0.99 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2010 Taça de Portugal
Fiaes vs Varzim
0:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fiaes 28 / 100
Varzim 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fiaes Varzim
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Varzim Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Varzim let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Fiaes found the back of the net in 54% of recent matches (13 games).
Solid form: Fiaes remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Varzim
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Fiaes
(Home) 10 Aug
Fiaes
0 : 3 Tirsense
26 Aug
Beira Mar
1 : 0 Fiaes
19 Sept
Fiaes
0 : 2 Varzim
05 Sept
UD Gandara
0 : 3 Fiaes
13 Sept
Fiaes
0 : 1 Leca
Page 1 of 3
10 Aug
Fiaes
0 : 3 Tirsense
19 Sept
Fiaes
0 : 2 Varzim
13 Sept
Fiaes
0 : 1 Leca
30 Aug
Fiaes
2 : 1 CU Micaelense
18 Nov
Fiaes
0 : 1 Portimonense
Page 1 of 2
Varzim
(Away) 16 Aug
Varzim
2 : 1 AD Marco 09
09 Aug
Trofense
0 : 1 Varzim
02 Aug
Varzim
1 : 1 Vitoria Guimaraes
29 Jul
Tirsense
0 : 1 Varzim
15 Jul
Tondela
1 : 0 Varzim
Page 1 of 6
09 Aug
Trofense
0 : 1 Varzim
29 Jul
Tirsense
0 : 1 Varzim
15 Jul
Tondela
1 : 0 Varzim
16 May
Santarem
2 : 2 Varzim
03 May
Academica
1 : 0 Varzim
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
FC Porto 4
AD Limianos 1
Operario 0
Moreirense 2
Santa Maria FC 1
Penalva do Castelo 0
Santa Clara 0
Juv. Evora 1
Leixoes 3
Mafra 2
AD Pontassolense 1
SC Espinho 4
Tirsense 5
Sampedrense 1
AD Fafe 0
Pinhalnovense 3
Rio Ave 4
Estrela Vendas Novas 1
Anadia 1
Feirense 2
GD Tourizense 2
Aliados Lordelo 1
Macedo de Cavaleiros 1
Atletico CP 3
Olhanense 1
Sertanense 0
Padroense 2
Nacional 4
Braga 2
1º Dezembro 1
Arouca 1
Benfica 5
Academica 2
FC Cesarense 1
SC Mirandela 1
Beira Mar 2
Bombarralense 0
Louletano 0
Leiria 1
U. Madeira 2
Sporting CP 2
Estoril 1
Sao Joao de Ver 1
Pacos Ferreira 3
Maritimo 2
Naval 0
Gil Vicente 1
Vitoria Setubal 2
Merelinense 2
SC Farense 1
Fatima 0
Carregado 1
Ribeirao 2
BSAD 0
Gondomar 0
Varzim 1
Torreense 1
Lagoa 0
Coimbroes 1
Mondinense 2
Portimonense 2
Cinfaes 0
Malveira 0
Vitoria Guimaraes 4
1/16-finals
FC Porto 1
Moreirense 0
Santa Maria FC 0
Juv. Evora 3
Leixoes 2
SC Espinho 1
Tirsense 0
Pinhalnovense 2
Rio Ave 3
Feirense 0
GD Tourizense 2
Atletico CP 3
Olhanense 1
Nacional 0
Braga 0
Benfica 2
Academica 2
Beira Mar 0
Bombarralense -
U. Madeira -
Sporting CP 1
Pacos Ferreira 0
Maritimo 1
Vitoria Setubal 2
Merelinense 2
Carregado 0
Ribeirao 3
Varzim 4
Torreense 2
Mondinense 1
Portimonense 1
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
1/8-finals
FC Porto 4
Juv. Evora 0
Leixoes 1
Pinhalnovense 2
Rio Ave 4
Atletico CP 1
Olhanense 0
Benfica 5
Academica 3
U. Madeira 1
Sporting CP 1
Vitoria Setubal 2
Merelinense 2
Varzim 1
Torreense 0
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
Quarter-finals
FC Porto 2
Pinhalnovense 0
Rio Ave 0
Benfica 2
Academica 3
Vitoria Setubal 2
Merelinense 0
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
Semi-finals
FC Porto 3
Benfica 3
Academica 0
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
Final
FC Porto 6
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
