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Fidelis Andria vs Bitonto

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Strambelli N.
(Penalty)
51' Event
Gianfreda L.
90' Event
Donida N.

AI Match Summary

Fidelis Andria in this Serie D - Group H 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fidelis Andria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Fidelis Andria
15%
Draws
73%
Bitonto
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bitonto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

12% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Fidelis Andria lately — more wins on the board than Bitonto.
  • Win probability leans Fidelis Andria's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Fidelis Andria Clean Sheet 68%
Bitonto Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fidelis Andria Bitonto
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 14 6
Draws 7 8
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 0.97 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Fidelis Andria vs Bitonto
2:1
Nov 26, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Bitonto vs Fidelis Andria
0:0
Oct 18, 2023 Coppa Italia Serie D
Fidelis Andria vs Bitonto
2:1
Jun 16, 2021 Serie D - Group H
Fidelis Andria vs Bitonto
3:1
Feb 21, 2021 Serie D - Group H
Fidelis Andria vs Bitonto
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fidelis Andria Compare

Top Goalscorer Donida N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Bitonto Compare

Top Goalscorer Gianfreda L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fidelis Andria 59 / 100
Bitonto 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fidelis Andria Bitonto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fidelis Andria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 2:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fidelis Andria's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 37 recent games.

Defensive concern: Bitonto conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Bitonto's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Fidelis Andria VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fidelis Andria

(Home)
27 Sept
Turris
2 : 0
Fidelis Andria
20 Sept
San Felice Gladiator
3 : 2
Fidelis Andria
16 Sept
Fidelis Andria
1 : 1
Manfredonia
12 Sept
Brindisi
1 : 0
Fidelis Andria
06 Sept
Fidelis Andria
1 : 3
Gravina
Page 1 of 8

Bitonto

(Away)
05 May
Casarano
2 : 1
Bitonto
28 Apr
Bitonto
2 : 1
Altamura
21 Apr
Gravina
5 : 1
Bitonto
14 Apr
Bitonto
2 : 0
Palmese 1914
07 Apr
Fidelis Andria
2 : 1
Bitonto
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Altamura 34 21 9 4 51:23 72
2 Martina Calcio 34 18 12 4 51:23 66
3 A.C.D. Nardo 34 20 5 9 53:24 65
4 Fidelis Andria 34 17 10 7 58:32 61
5 Casarano 34 15 10 9 45:32 55
6 Matera 34 15 8 11 45:37 53
7 Paganese 34 12 9 13 42:43 45
8 Palmese 1914 34 13 7 14 45:52 45
9 Gelbison 34 11 10 13 41:37 43
10 Rotonda 34 11 9 14 36:36 42
11 Gravina 34 10 11 13 49:44 41
12 Manfredonia 34 9 15 10 28:38 41
13 Citta di Fasano 34 11 8 15 38:57 41
14 Angri 34 10 9 15 35:52 39
15 Gallipoli 34 8 9 17 27:49 33
16 Barletta 34 6 12 16 30:45 30
17 Bitonto 34 7 9 18 22:45 30
18 Santa Maria Cilento 34 5 10 19 22:55 25
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2023/2024 (Play Out)