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Stadium Background

Fidelis Andria vs Citta di Fasano

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H
Our Tip

Match Events

84' Event
Orlandi A.
90' Event
Gatto A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H game between Fidelis Andria and Citta di Fasano finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fidelis Andria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Fidelis Andria
40%
Draws
29%
Citta di Fasano
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Citta di Fasano carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Fidelis Andria Clean Sheet 68%
Citta di Fasano Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fidelis Andria Citta di Fasano
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 16
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Fidelis Andria vs Citta di Fasano
2:0
Oct 19, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Citta di Fasano vs Fidelis Andria
2:1
Jan 5, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Fidelis Andria vs Citta di Fasano
1:0
Sep 8, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Citta di Fasano vs Fidelis Andria
1:1
Feb 25, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Fidelis Andria vs Citta di Fasano
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fidelis Andria Compare

Top Goalscorer Orlandi A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gatto A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Citta di Fasano Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fidelis Andria 42 / 100
Citta di Fasano 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fidelis Andria Citta di Fasano

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Fidelis Andria scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Fidelis Andria went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Citta di Fasano registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fidelis Andria VS Citta di Fasano
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Barletta342010454:2070
2Martina Calcio34188847:3062
3Citta di Fasano34188851:3562
4Paganese341771036:3258
5A.C.D. Nardo341413740:2755
6Gravina341671150:4055
7Afragolese3413101145:4649
8Fidelis Andria341391235:2848
9Virtus Francavilla3412121045:4048
10Real Normanna3410131127:2643
11Francavilla3411101339:3843
12Manfredonia3411101334:3943
13Sarnese349141151:4941
14SS Nola 1925341181542:5041
15Heraclea341081631:3938
16Pompei34971826:3834
17Ferrandina34791821:4330
18Acerrana34352620:7414