Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fidelis Andria vs Matera

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Imputato A.
64' Event
Di Piazza M.
85' Event
Jallow L.

AI Match Summary

Fidelis Andria in this Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fidelis Andria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Fidelis Andria
30%
Draws
62%
Matera
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Matera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Fidelis Andria lately — more wins on the board than Matera.
  • Model gives Matera a 62% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Fidelis Andria Clean Sheet 22%
Matera Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fidelis Andria Matera
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 7 10
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 19, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Fidelis Andria vs Matera
2:1
Sep 22, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Matera vs Fidelis Andria
0:0
Apr 14, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Matera vs Fidelis Andria
2:0
Dec 3, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Fidelis Andria vs Matera
1:2
Apr 22, 2018 Serie C - Group C
Fidelis Andria vs Matera
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fidelis Andria Compare

Top Goalscorer Imputato A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jallow L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Matera Compare

Top Goalscorer Di Piazza M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fidelis Andria 16 / 100
Matera 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fidelis Andria Matera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Matera Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Matera has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Fidelis Andria's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Fidelis Andria stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fidelis Andria VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fidelis Andria

(Home)
20 Sept
San Felice Gladiator
3 : 2
Fidelis Andria
16 Sept
Fidelis Andria
1 : 1
Manfredonia
12 Sept
Brindisi
1 : 0
Fidelis Andria
06 Sept
Fidelis Andria
1 : 3
Gravina
03 May
Fidelis Andria
1 : 2
Pompei
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Matera

(Away)
04 May
Matera
2 : 2
Nocerina
27 Apr
ASD Ugento
1 : 4
Matera
17 Apr
Matera
3 : 1
Angri
13 Apr
Matera
2 : 2
Virtus Francavilla
06 Apr
Costa Amalfi
4 : 2
Matera
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Casarano 34 21 11 2 72:30 74
2 Nocerina 34 20 10 4 64:27 70
3 Martina Calcio 34 17 11 6 48:28 62
4 Fidelis Andria 34 16 9 9 41:29 57
5 Citta di Fasano 34 13 11 10 45:32 50
6 Matera 34 12 13 9 51:47 49
7 Virtus Francavilla 34 12 11 11 41:34 47
8 A.C.D. Nardo 34 13 8 13 47:45 47
9 Ischia 34 11 12 11 39:45 45
10 Palmese 1914 34 10 12 12 41:45 42
11 Gravina 34 11 9 14 43:46 42
12 Francavilla 34 11 8 15 28:34 41
13 Acerrana 34 11 8 15 37:50 41
14 ASD Ugento 34 10 7 17 33:51 37
15 Manfredonia 34 8 11 15 33:51 35
16 Brindisi 34 9 14 11 44:43 27
17 Angri 34 6 8 20 35:69 26
18 Costa Amalfi 34 3 11 20 26:62 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 (Play Out)