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Fidelis Andria vs Pergocrema

Italy Italy

Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
del Core U.
31' Event
Adeleke S.
70' Event

AI Match Summary

The Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012 game between Fidelis Andria and Pergocrema finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pergocrema.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Fidelis Andria
30%
Draws
47%
Pergocrema
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pergocrema

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Pergocrema haven't matched Fidelis Andria's recent run of results.
  • Fidelis Andria are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Fidelis Andria Clean Sheet 68%
Pergocrema Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fidelis Andria Pergocrema
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 7 9
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 0.84 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2012 Lega Pro C1/B
Pergocrema vs Fidelis Andria
0:0
Dec 11, 2011 Lega Pro C1/B
Fidelis Andria vs Pergocrema
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fidelis Andria Compare

Top Goalscorer del Core U.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Pergocrema Compare

Top Goalscorer Adeleke S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fidelis Andria 77 / 100
Pergocrema 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fidelis Andria Pergocrema

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fidelis Andria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fidelis Andria found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

Pergocrema let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Pergocrema registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fidelis Andria VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fidelis Andria

(Home)
27 Sept
Turris
2 : 0
Fidelis Andria
20 Sept
San Felice Gladiator
3 : 2
Fidelis Andria
16 Sept
Fidelis Andria
1 : 1
Manfredonia
12 Sept
Brindisi
1 : 0
Fidelis Andria
06 Sept
Fidelis Andria
1 : 3
Gravina
Page 1 of 7

Pergocrema

(Away)
06 May
Carrarese
4 : 1
Pergocrema
29 Apr
Pergocrema
0 : 0
Fidelis Andria
25 Apr
Pergocrema
1 : 3
Cremonese
22 Apr
Lanciano
0 : 0
Pergocrema
04 Apr
Frosinone
5 : 1
Pergocrema
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spezia 34 17 11 6 48:29 62
2 Trapani 34 17 9 8 57:42 60
3 Siracusa 34 18 9 7 46:31 58
4 Lanciano 34 15 10 9 40:34 55
5 Cremonese 34 15 10 9 47:30 49
6 Barletta 34 12 13 9 43:38 48
7 Sudtirol 34 11 13 10 39:34 46
8 Carrarese 34 11 12 11 43:39 45
9 Frosinone 34 13 6 15 40:41 45
10 Portogruaro 34 9 13 12 40:45 40
11 Pergocrema 34 12 9 13 33:46 40
12 Fidelis Andria 34 9 12 13 37:38 39
13 FeralpiSalo 34 9 11 14 26:37 38
14 Prato 34 8 11 15 36:44 35
15 Triestina 34 9 8 17 43:55 35
16 Latina 34 8 11 15 37:45 35
17 Piacenza 34 10 13 11 41:49 34
18 Bassano Virtus 34 7 11 16 29:48 32
Relegation - Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012 (Play Out)
Relegation - Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012 (Play Out)
Relegation - Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012 (Play Out)
Relegation - Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012 (Play Out)
Promotion - Serie B 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012 (Play Offs)