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Fidelis Andria vs Rotonda Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie D - Group H 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Telera G.
64' Event
Strambelli N.
(Penalty)
74' Event
Fusco A.

AI Match Summary

Fidelis Andria in this Serie D - Group H 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fidelis Andria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Fidelis Andria
20%
Draws
64%
Rotonda
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rotonda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Fidelis Andria lately — more wins on the board than Rotonda.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie D - Group H 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Fidelis Andria Clean Sheet 23%
Rotonda Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fidelis Andria Rotonda
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 14 9
Draws 7 7
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 0.97 1
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Rotonda vs Fidelis Andria
2:1
Dec 17, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Fidelis Andria vs Rotonda
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fidelis Andria Compare

Top Goalscorer Telera G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Rotonda Compare

Top Goalscorer Fusco A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fidelis Andria 37 / 100
Rotonda 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fidelis Andria Rotonda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rotonda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fidelis Andria's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 37 recent games.

Rotonda has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Rotonda registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fidelis Andria VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fidelis Andria

(Home)
27 Sept
Turris
2 : 0
Fidelis Andria
20 Sept
San Felice Gladiator
3 : 2
Fidelis Andria
16 Sept
Fidelis Andria
1 : 1
Manfredonia
12 Sept
Brindisi
1 : 0
Fidelis Andria
06 Sept
Fidelis Andria
1 : 3
Gravina
Page 1 of 8

Rotonda

(Away)
05 May
Palmese 1914
1 : 0
Rotonda
28 Apr
Rotonda
2 : 1
Fidelis Andria
21 Apr
A.C.D. Nardo
1 : 0
Rotonda
14 Apr
Manfredonia
0 : 0
Rotonda
07 Apr
Rotonda
0 : 1
Gelbison
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Altamura 34 21 9 4 51:23 72
2 Martina Calcio 34 18 12 4 51:23 66
3 A.C.D. Nardo 34 20 5 9 53:24 65
4 Fidelis Andria 34 17 10 7 58:32 61
5 Casarano 34 15 10 9 45:32 55
6 Matera 34 15 8 11 45:37 53
7 Paganese 34 12 9 13 42:43 45
8 Palmese 1914 34 13 7 14 45:52 45
9 Gelbison 34 11 10 13 41:37 43
10 Rotonda 34 11 9 14 36:36 42
11 Gravina 34 10 11 13 49:44 41
12 Manfredonia 34 9 15 10 28:38 41
13 Citta di Fasano 34 11 8 15 38:57 41
14 Angri 34 10 9 15 35:52 39
15 Gallipoli 34 8 9 17 27:49 33
16 Barletta 34 6 12 16 30:45 30
17 Bitonto 34 7 9 18 22:45 30
18 Santa Maria Cilento 34 5 10 19 22:55 25
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2023/2024 (Play Out)