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Fidelis Andria vs Virtus Francavilla - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Serie D
Wed, Oct 28, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Coppa Italia Serie D. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Fidelis Andria at 0.9 goals for, 1.07 against; Virtus Francavilla at 1.48 for, 1.07 against. Head-to-head, Fidelis Andria have won 2 to Virtus Francavilla's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 12, 2026, ending 0:2. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.75) point toward Virtus Francavilla. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Fidelis Andria
15%
Draws
54%
Virtus Francavilla
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Virtus Francavilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Fidelis Andria haven't matched Virtus Francavilla's recent run of results.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Virtus Francavilla taking it.
  • Virtus Francavilla arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Virtus Francavilla, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Fidelis Andria Clean Sheet 12%
Virtus Francavilla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fidelis Andria Virtus Francavilla
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 15
Draws 6 8
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 0.9 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Virtus Francavilla vs Fidelis Andria
0:2
Nov 30, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Fidelis Andria vs Virtus Francavilla
1:2
Jan 26, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Virtus Francavilla vs Fidelis Andria
0:2
Sep 29, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Fidelis Andria vs Virtus Francavilla
0:1
Feb 1, 2023 Serie C - Group C
Fidelis Andria vs Virtus Francavilla
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fidelis Andria 27 / 100
Virtus Francavilla 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fidelis Andria Virtus Francavilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Virtus Francavilla Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fidelis Andria scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Virtus Francavilla has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Fidelis Andria stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fidelis Andria VS Virtus Francavilla
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Fidelis Andria

(Home)
07 Oct
Fidelis Andria
2 : 1
Bisceglie
04 Oct
Fidelis Andria
2 : 1
Real Forio 2014
27 Sept
Turris
2 : 0
Fidelis Andria
20 Sept
San Felice Gladiator
3 : 2
Fidelis Andria
16 Sept
Fidelis Andria
1 : 1
Manfredonia
Page 1 of 6

Virtus Francavilla

(Away)
07 Oct
Virtus Francavilla
3 : 0
Gravina
04 Oct
Gravina
4 : 2
Virtus Francavilla
27 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
2 : 1
San Felice Gladiator
20 Sept
Martina Calcio
1 : 2
Virtus Francavilla
16 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
2 : 1
Brindisi
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
AS Biellese 3
Alessandria 2
Valenzana 3
Saluzzo 2
Villa Valle 2
Tritium 1
Brusaporto 2
Chievo 1
Real Calepina 0
AC Leon 2
Varese FC 2
Pro Patria 5
Pavia 1
Sant'Angelo 3
Sanremese 5
Millesimo 2
Cjarlins Muzane 2
Brian Lignano 1
Este 0
Caldiero Terme 2
Mestre 0
Schio 2
Clodiense 2
Campodarsego 1
Lentigione 1
Piacenza 3
Sasso Marconi 1
Cittadella Vis Modena 0
Sestri Levante 1
Pistoiese 0
Seravezza Pozzi 1
Lucchese 2
Terranuova Traiana 0
Prato 3
Ternana -
Recanatese -
Ancona 2
Fossombrone 1
Flaminia 0
Siena 3
Unipomezia 3
Teramo 4
Latte Dolce 3
Sarrabus Ogliastra 0
Aquila Calcio 5
Termoli 2
Paganese 1
Real Normanna 2
Certosa V. Campagnano 4
Albalonga 1
Nocerina 1
Turris 2
Fidelis Andria 2
Bisceglie 1
Virtus Francavilla 3
Gravina 0
Lamezia 2
Gelbison 3
Igea Virtus 3
Reggina 2
Calcio Avola 0
ASD Modica Calcio 4
Trapani 1
Licata 2
1/16-finals
AS Biellese -
Valenzana -
Villa Valle -
Brusaporto -
AC Leon -
Pro Patria -
Sant'Angelo -
Sanremese -
Cjarlins Muzane -
Caldiero Terme -
Schio -
Clodiense -
Piacenza -
Sasso Marconi -
Sestri Levante -
Lucchese -
Prato -
TBD -
Ancona -
Siena -
Teramo -
Latte Dolce -
Aquila Calcio -
Real Normanna -
Certosa V. Campagnano -
Turris -
Fidelis Andria -
Virtus Francavilla -
Gelbison -
Igea Virtus -
ASD Modica Calcio -
Licata -
1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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