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Figline vs Ostiamare

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Camilli M.
45' Event
Mugelli F.
(Penalty)
90' Event
Marrali M.

AI Match Summary

Ostiamare in this Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ostiamare.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Figline
20%
Draws
30%
Ostiamare
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Figline

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Figline haven't matched Ostiamare's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Figline's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Figline Clean Sheet 19%
Ostiamare Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Figline Ostiamare
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 7 15
Draws 9 7
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 0.77 1.45
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Figline vs Ostiamare
1:2
Oct 19, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Ostiamare vs Figline
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Figline Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Ostiamare Compare

Top Goalscorer Camilli M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marrali M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Figline 49 / 100
Ostiamare 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Figline Ostiamare

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Figline Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Ostiamare conceded in 76% of 33 recent games.

Recent resilience: Figline stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Ostiamare has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Figline VS Ostiamare
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Figline

(Home)
19 Aug
Montevarchi
0 : 0
Figline
11 May
Terranuova Traiana
1 : 0
Figline
04 May
Figline
4 : 1
Livorno
27 Apr
Terranuova Traiana
1 : 1
Figline
17 Apr
Figline
0 : 1
Poggibonsi
Page 1 of 6

Ostiamare

(Away)
16 Sept
Ostiamare
0 : 1
Ravenna
13 Sept
Sassari Torres
3 : 2
Ostiamare
05 Sept
Vis Pesaro
1 : 2
Ostiamare
29 Aug
Ostiamare
1 : 2
Grosseto
23 Aug
Perugia
1 : 0
Ostiamare
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Livorno 34 21 9 4 74:44 72
2 Fulgens Foligno 34 17 9 8 61:44 60
3 Seravezza Pozzi 34 16 11 7 53:39 59
4 Ghiviborgo 34 17 4 13 65:57 55
5 Orvietana 34 15 8 11 44:41 53
6 Siena 34 14 10 10 35:32 52
7 Grosseto 34 13 11 10 39:34 50
8 Ostiamare 34 12 9 13 49:53 45
9 Poggibonsi 34 12 7 15 32:36 43
10 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 11 10 13 26:26 43
11 Montevarchi 34 9 14 11 36:39 41
12 Flaminia 34 10 10 14 42:43 40
13 Follonica Gavorrano 34 10 10 14 40:45 40
14 Terranuova Traiana 34 8 15 11 34:47 39
15 Figline 34 9 11 14 29:33 38
16 Sporting Trestina 34 9 11 14 35:45 38
17 Sangiovannese 34 9 9 16 30:38 36
18 Fezzanese 34 6 8 20 35:63 26
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 (Play Out)