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Stadium Background

Figueirense vs Paysandu PA

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Estádio Orlando Scarpelli
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Figueirense play Paysandu PA in the Serie C. It looks like a close match. Recently, Figueirense averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.31 conceded. Paysandu PA averaged 1.79 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. In past meetings, Figueirense won 3, Paysandu PA won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 31, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Figueirense and 1.38 for Paysandu PA. This points to a Paysandu PA double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Figueirense
17%
Draws
47%
Paysandu PA
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Paysandu PA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Figueirense picked up more points recently compared to Paysandu PA.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Figueirense Clean Sheet 17%
Paysandu PA Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 61%
Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Figueirense Paysandu PA
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 16
Draws 5 4
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 0.97 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Serie C
Figueirense vs Paysandu PA
2:1
May 8, 2023 Serie C
Figueirense vs Paysandu PA
2:0
Sep 11, 2022 Serie C
Paysandu PA vs Figueirense
1:0
Sep 3, 2022 Serie C
Figueirense vs Paysandu PA
2:1
Jul 25, 2022 Serie C
Paysandu PA vs Figueirense
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Figueirense Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucas Alves
1 Goals
Assists Leader Emerson Galego
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Paysandu PA Compare

Top Goalscorer Juninho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Figueirense 36 / 100
Paysandu PA 45 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Figueirense Paysandu PA

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Paysandu PA or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Figueirense attacking → ← attacking Paysandu PA

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Figueirense scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Paysandu PA let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Figueirense went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Paysandu PA lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 52
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Brusque1373320:1424
2Guarani1365223:1123
3Internacional de Limeira1364316:1422
4Santa Cruz1363413:921
5Paysandu PA1362519:1720
6SER Caxias do Sul1355313:1020
7Botafogo PB1361617:1519
8Maringa FC1354426:2419
9Ituano1354415:1319
10Floresta EC1354415:1419
11Ferroviaria1354412:1119
12Ypiranga FC1353516:1718
13Amazonas1352613:1817
14Volta Redonda1352610:1517
15Figueirense1344512:1816
16Barra FC (Santa Catarina)1336416:1415
17Maranhao133559:1314
18Itabaiana1334611:1713
19Confianca133288:1211
20Anapolis132389:179