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Figueirense vs Barra FC (Santa Catarina) - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Copa Santa Catarina
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Vargas L.
68' Event
Ze Carlos
73'
Emerson Galego

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. The second leg ended 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Figueirense
35%
Draws
21%
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Figueirense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Barra FC (Santa Catarina) haven't matched Figueirense's recent run of results.
  • Figueirense are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Figueirense have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Barra FC (Santa Catarina), who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Figueirense Clean Sheet 68%
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Figueirense Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
Matches Played 34 32
Wins 16 10
Draws 8 10
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.12 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Copa Santa Catarina
Figueirense vs Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
1:1
May 4, 2026 Serie C
Figueirense vs Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
0:3
Oct 1, 2025 Copa Santa Catarina
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) vs Figueirense
1:4
Sep 21, 2025 Copa Santa Catarina
Figueirense vs Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
2:1
Feb 8, 2025 Catarinense
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) vs Figueirense
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Figueirense Compare

Top Goalscorer Ze Carlos
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) Compare

Top Goalscorer Vargas L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Figueirense 77 / 100
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Figueirense Barra FC (Santa Catarina)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Figueirense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Figueirense has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Figueirense's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Defensive concern: Barra FC (Santa Catarina) conceded in 69% of 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Figueirense VS Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Figueirense

(Home)
10 Oct
Figueirense
1 : 0
Hercilio Luz
27 Sept
CA Metropolitano
0 : 1
Figueirense
20 Sept
Santa Catarina
1 : 2
Figueirense
12 Sept
Figueirense
1 : 0
Nacao
05 Sept
Figueirense
1 : 1
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
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Barra FC (Santa Catarina)

(Away)
26 Sept
Joinville
2 : 1
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
23 Sept
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
3 : 3
Nacao
15 Sept
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
2 : 2
Blumenau
05 Sept
Figueirense
1 : 1
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
29 Aug
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
2 : 0
Volta Redonda
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Figueirense 5 4 1 0 6:2 13
2 Joinville 6 4 0 2 13:8 12
3 Marcilio Dias 6 3 2 1 15:9 11
4 Hercilio Luz 5 3 0 2 11:9 9
5 Santa Catarina 5 2 1 2 6:8 7
6 CA Metropolitano 4 1 0 3 5:10 3
7 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 4 0 3 1 7:8 3
8 Nacao 6 0 3 3 6:12 3
9 Blumenau 5 0 2 3 3:6 2
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina (Play Offs)