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Figueirense vs Barra FC (Santa Catarina) Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Estádio Orlando Scarpelli, Florianópolis
Our Tip

Match Events

44'
Da Rocha
55'
Ryan Carlos
60'
Sub
Igor Bolt In: Joao Choco
Out: Igor Bolt

AI Match Summary

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) in this Serie C matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Barra FC (Santa Catarina).

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Figueirense
35%
Draws
21%
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Figueirense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Figueirense have won more games recently than Barra FC (Santa Catarina).
  • Model gives Figueirense a 44% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Figueirense Clean Sheet 68%
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Figueirense Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
Matches Played 33 33
Wins 15 11
Draws 8 10
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.12 1.12
Goals Conceded 1.12 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Copa Santa Catarina
Figueirense vs Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
1:1
May 4, 2026 Serie C
Figueirense vs Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
0:3
Oct 1, 2025 Copa Santa Catarina
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) vs Figueirense
1:4
Sep 21, 2025 Copa Santa Catarina
Figueirense vs Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
2:1
Feb 8, 2025 Catarinense
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) vs Figueirense
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Figueirense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) Compare

Top Goalscorer Marcelinho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pinheiro C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Figueirense 59 / 100
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Figueirense Barra FC (Santa Catarina)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Figueirense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Figueirense has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Figueirense scored in 73% of their last 33 outings.

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) has conceded goals in 70% of their last 33 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Figueirense VS Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Figueirense

(Home)
27 Sept
CA Metropolitano
0 : 1
Figueirense
20 Sept
Santa Catarina
1 : 2
Figueirense
12 Sept
Figueirense
1 : 0
Nacao
05 Sept
Figueirense
1 : 1
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
29 Aug
Figueirense
2 : 1
Maranhao
Page 1 of 7

Barra FC (Santa Catarina)

(Away)
26 Sept
Joinville
2 : 1
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
23 Sept
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
3 : 3
Nacao
15 Sept
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
2 : 2
Blumenau
05 Sept
Figueirense
1 : 1
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
29 Aug
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
2 : 0
Volta Redonda
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo PB 19 10 3 6 28:19 33
2 Brusque 19 9 5 5 28:22 32
3 Ferroviaria 19 8 6 5 22:15 30
4 Maringa FC 19 8 6 5 32:30 30
5 Floresta EC 19 8 6 5 22:20 30
6 Internacional de Limeira 19 8 6 5 22:20 30
7 Paysandu PA 19 9 2 8 26:27 29
8 Santa Cruz 19 8 5 6 20:15 29
9 Ypiranga FC 19 8 5 6 27:24 29
10 Guarani 19 7 7 5 34:24 28
11 Figueirense 19 7 7 5 19:22 28
12 Maranhao 19 7 6 6 19:18 27
13 Amazonas 19 7 5 7 21:23 26
14 SER Caxias do Sul 19 6 7 6 17:16 25
15 Ituano 19 6 4 9 18:21 22
16 Volta Redonda 19 6 3 10 13:25 21
17 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 19 5 6 8 21:21 21
18 Anapolis 19 5 4 10 17:22 19
19 Itabaiana 19 4 5 10 14:27 17
20 Confianca 19 3 4 12 11:20 13
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)